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2024-05-14 00:15:00 ET Summary While oversimplifying any formula in the financial markets tends to backfire more often than not, good inflation numbers tend to deliver new highs for the S&P 500. My thesis is that we put in a bottom in April, which should, hold with a dovish Fe...
2024-05-13 12:45:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 rose a little over 1.8% largely as expectations the Federal Reserve will start a series of rate cuts in September 2023 firmed. Several see inflation running too high, prompting them to suggest they will continue to hold rates where th...
2024-05-13 09:15:00 ET Summary We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance. While slower growth and higher inflation can be seen as having some stagflation characteristics, we remain convinced that i...
2024-05-13 09:07:17 ET Stifel argued on Monday that the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) is positioned for a correction, predicting that the next 500 points for the S&P 500 will be towards the downside.... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: Stifel f...
2024-05-13 08:10:00 ET Summary As of December 31st, 2023, the S&P 500 was forecasting a return of 1.34%/year over the next ten years, with no adjustment for inflation. Value stocks are cheap, and will be affected less by market events. This feels like June 2000, where ever...
2024-05-13 06:57:54 ET Summary Market direction in the coming week will hinge on CPI and PPI reports, with investors hoping to see progress on the inflation front, triggering a potential Fed Funds rate cut. However, consumer sentiment shows increasing skepticism towards 'official'...
2024-05-13 04:38:18 ET Summary The Treasury Yield Curve and the S&P 500 Index have been coupled for one week, decoupled for one week, and neutral for one week. The SDI, TDI, and Uptrend indicators all show optimistic results for the market. The bond market is overdue for n...
2024-05-12 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P500 rebound reached 5239, just 25 points from the all-time high. The 5265 top may seem like a big hurdle, but the price action in that area in March/April suggests it can easily be broken. There could be a dip mid-week when an exhausti...
2024-05-12 10:00:00 ET BNP Paribas sees a choppy few months ahead for the major equity averages as investors deal with "signs of data cooling.” ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: BNP Paribas sees 'rangy trading' this summer as eco...
2024-05-12 07:56:00 ET Summary The scorecard remains tight and, in my view, tilted to a more neutral setting. I see nine pros and nine cons, with six segments classified as "neutral". The Administration's budget includes plans to increase taxes by $7 trillion, which could have sig...
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