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2024-05-17 01:00:00 ET Summary Following a run of stronger-than-expected inflation prints, S&P Global Market Intelligence analysts now expect an initial rate cut by the Federal Reserve at December's meeting. Forecasts of initial policy rate reductions have been pushed ba...
2024-05-17 00:00:00 ET Summary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) nonfarm payrolls has averaged monthly gains of over 233k over the past year. By all standards, that is a healthy number, especially considering the federal funds rate has been above 5% over that same time per...
2024-05-16 14:30:00 ET Summary US CPI improves the inflation picture. US inflation is improving but some aspects are still troubling for the Fed. What the US bond market tells us about the outlook for rates. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha ...
2024-05-16 12:30:00 ET Summary The move shows central banks aren’t waiting for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, and it indicates confidence that the European Central Bank will cut in June. The Eurozone Services Purchasing Managers’ Index hit an 11-month high in Apri...
2024-05-16 11:20:00 ET Summary Wednesday’s CPI report was a big relief for the Fed after 4 consecutive upside surprises. The key metric was core CPI, which came in at 3.62% year over year vs last month’s rate of 3.8%. The problem is, inflation is almost exactly i...
2024-05-16 11:03:36 ET DWS indicated that it's cautiously optimistic for bonds and equities moving forward, but investors face a number of factors that could complicate trading. Some of the questions that need to be answered center around the state of moderating growth, inflation levels, Fe...
2024-05-16 10:54:17 ET Summary Some permabears have projected that a 2008-like financial crisis is potentially on the horizon. However, some of the key sectors that triggered that financial crisis are in substantially better shape than they were heading into the Great Financial Cr...
2024-05-16 07:20:00 ET Summary After months of worsening data on CPI inflation, we got still bad, but less bad, data today for April by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core services CPI, which accounts for about 60% of total CPI, increased by 5.3% YoY in April, roughly the same ho...
2024-05-16 01:21:20 ET Summary April inflation resists Fed efforts, printing at 0.3% for the month and 3.4% for the year. Two waves of inflation: transitory "Demand-Pull" and long-lasting "Cost-Push" caused by excessive money printing. Fed's plan to unwind $8 trillion balance ...
2024-05-16 01:20:00 ET Summary The pace of core inflation slowed in April, but more progress is needed. After an unexpectedly strong first quarter for U.S. inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April showed some disinflationary progress, albeit still from elevated levels. ...
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