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2024-05-27 08:21:21 ET Summary S&P 500 and SPY have seen significant gains in recent weeks but ended May 24 barely positive. The U.S. Treasury has different tenors in Treasury Bills, Notes, and Bonds, with the 10Y Note being the benchmark. The Yield Curve Stiffness (YCS) a...
2024-05-27 07:00:00 ET Summary Pete Najarian, co-founder of Market Rebellion, discusses the current state of the economy, Fed policy, and the impact on the markets. Pete never bought into the "5, 6, 7 Fed cut" talk in early 2024 - but thinks the market largely has the Fed right no...
2024-05-27 04:22:00 ET Summary The US economic upturn accelerated again in May after two months of slower growth, with the early PMI data signaling the fastest expansion for just over two years. US business activity growth accelerated sharply to its fastest for just over two years...
2024-05-27 03:55:00 ET Summary The market has had another week of indecision, trying to make up its mind whether to cheer another blowout earnings quarter by NVIDIA, the darling of one-day options punters, or worry itself into a corner over comments by Fed officials speculating about ...
2024-05-27 03:32:00 ET Summary Today’s unemployment and inflation environment is a far cry from what it was in the 1980s' stagflationary years. Median stock market volatility in year four of an election cycle is essentially the same as it is in years one and three. Chin...
2024-05-27 03:25:00 ET Summary The flash PMI data for May from S&P Global brought encouraging news on economic growth, with output of the combined manufacturing and service sectors rising across the four major developed economies - the 'G4' - at the fastest rate for a year. Am...
2024-05-26 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 held the 5264 re-test of the March high. However, the "engulfing" bar from Thursday is a danger sign, last seen at a 52-week high in July 2023. 5257 needs to hold for bulls to stay in control. Last weekend's article ...
2024-05-26 06:15:00 ET Summary Rising interest rates, inflation risk, and a stronger dollar have continued to trend higher in recent weeks. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields has fallen below -40 bps, potentially indicating a further inversion of the yield c...
2024-05-25 09:30:00 ET Summary Stronger than expected data and hawkish FOMC minutes lifted US rates and the dollar, while the market reduced expectations of ECB easing. Sterling remained resilient despite weak economic data, but rate expectations were impacted by stronger than exp...
2024-05-24 18:40:00 ET Summary The “Magnificent Seven” became the “Magnificent One” - Nvidia. The Fed minutes trigger a market collapse on no new news. When in doubt, return to the Covid playbook. My guess the reason to be primitive AI...
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