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2024-06-21 10:29:48 ET Summary SPXU is a 3x leveraged inverse bet on the S&P 500 with a 10.74% TTM dividend yield from US Treasuries. While the dividend is attractive, it is more of a quirk than something we can effectively capture. The fund's leveraged nature comes with h...
2024-06-21 09:54:05 ET As the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) and Nasdaq Composite ( COMP:IND ) continue to flirt with all-time trading highs, many bears in the market are calling for a topping bubble, as they draw parallels to the market’s late-1990s rally that was followed by a sharp...
2024-06-21 09:00:00 ET Summary I reflect on past bear markets caused by unsustainable debt levels and valuations, but do not see similar circumstances today. Current concerns about a looming bear market are addressed, with a focus on overbought conditions in the technology sector ...
2024-06-21 05:30:00 ET Summary The real GDP growth forecasts for 2024 have been lowered in a few major economies, including the US, Canada, Brazil and Japan. We continue to expect a gradual downward trend in global consumer price index inflation in 2024-26, driven by a moder...
2024-06-21 04:44:10 ET Summary The S&P 500 index is currently overvalued, with its P/E and CAPE ratios significantly above historical averages, suggesting limited future returns and heightened risk. There are increasing signs of economic weakness, including rising unemployment...
2024-06-20 21:39:20 ET Summary The European Central Bank has informed the governments of the European Union to get their budgets under control. The ECB believes that the growing debt levels will "eventually" cause pain as the debt will have to be dealt with. Debt levels contin...
2024-06-20 09:31:22 ET Summary Nvidia is part of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks driving market returns, but overvaluation poses risks for future shareholder returns. The market is heavily reliant on these tech stocks, with half of the S&P 500's returns coming from the Magnifi...
2024-06-20 09:13:59 ET Wolfe Research noted that Wall Street's major market averages are on track for a historically strong trading year, but the institution also predicted higher volatility in trading in the back half of 2024.... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For furth...
2024-06-20 07:25:00 ET Summary The Swiss National Bank surprised many with its second consecutive rate cut. Norway's central bank left policy on hold and warned that if the economy performs as expected, it does not anticipate a rate cut until next year. The US dollar is tradin...
2024-06-20 01:11:46 ET Summary Last week, the Fed maintained its view that rates would be cut this year. While the outcome was quite hawkish, I chose to look beyond this and ask what happens after they finally cut rates, so we can prepare. Since 1921, the Fed has initiated 22 ...
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