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2024-07-19 06:34:07 ET Summary The recent labor market data continues to point to a borderline recession. The rotation out of mega-cap tech stocks points to a Gen AI bubble burst. Thus, the S&P 500 is facing a recessionary bear market with a bubble burst. Two ris...
2024-07-19 04:10:00 ET Summary In the week ending July 13th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 243,000, an increase of 20,000 from the previous week's figure. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.2 percent for the week ending ...
2024-07-18 10:35:00 ET Summary While U.S. large-cap stocks often hold a place at the core of portfolios, many believe this exposure is best achieved via passive index-tracking products. The top stock by market cap in the S&P 500 is larger than the entire small-cap universe, su...
2024-07-18 07:40:00 ET Summary Fed Funds rate currently above T-Bill rates, historically follows T-Bill direction with a margin for flexibility. Fed's belief in market psychology of "Fed in charge", historical misses in predicting recessions. The Fed will cut its rate once the...
2024-07-18 06:30:00 ET Summary More data was released indicating greater disinflationary progress in the US - which, in my view, means we will get a Federal Reserve rate cut this quarter. I think this will be a rather positive earnings season. S&P 500 companies are forecasted ...
2024-07-17 22:10:00 ET Summary The combination of the Great Financial Crisis period and the Covid era created some of the most interesting economic experiments in history, which also resulted in some of the worst narratives in finance and economics. In the wake of the Financial Cr...
2024-07-17 21:45:00 ET Summary Government borrowing and the national debt are barely getting a mention in the US election campaign, yet a failure to change trajectory risks further debt downgrades, more market volatility and higher borrowing costs. This will pose ec...
2024-07-17 21:10:00 ET Summary The teen labor force includes both the number of teens who have a job and the number of unemployed teens who do not but are trying to get one. The seasonally-adjusted data shows the combined total of Age 16-19 teens with jobs declined a small amount ...
2024-07-17 07:00:00 ET Summary The reordering of US election outcomes led to a bear steepening in US treasuries. The global easing cycle kicked off with the European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, Riksbank, and Swiss National Bank all beginning interest rate cuts. Financial mar...
2024-07-17 07:00:00 ET Summary A busy two weeks of economic data has a lot of important implications for Main Street and Wall Street. Inflation is cooling, with CPI below expectations and worker earnings outpacing inflation for the 16th consecutive month. Real-time inflation data ...
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2024-07-07 12:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 19:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-07 04:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...