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2023-11-07 20:10:00 ET Summary New home prices are trending downward. They're falling, but they are falling very slowly. The average 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage now has an interest rate approaching 8%. Mortgage rates have doubled since 2019. The relative affordabi...
2023-11-06 15:40:00 ET Summary The history of construction spending since 1993 reveals that this data tends to weaken prior to recessions. For a recent dip in Residential Construction attributed to the rise in mortgage rates, this indicator is charging higher. The COVID disrup...
2023-11-04 12:00:00 ET More on REITs: RWR: The Time Might Be Now Jobs Market Cools In October, Rate Cuts On The Horizon, XLRE A Buy ICF: Heavy Exposure To CRE Structural Headwinds, Reversal Difficult To Vision Broader markets hurt REITs despite solid earnings...
2023-11-04 10:00:00 ET Summary Interest rates are higher than pre-COVID 19 and expected to stay high in the long term, which should support yields. Real estate equity prices have fallen since early 2022, so new loan collateral values will likely be lower than previous peaks. P...
2023-11-03 15:48:25 ET Summary RYLD, a covered call writing fund, has performed poorly and has a sub 2% annual total return since inception. We explain why that has happened and why the odds of meeting the current yield without NAV depletion is virtually zero. We go over why R...
2023-11-03 01:25:00 ET Summary The nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly jumped in September. The increase of 336,000 was the largest since January, and it was accompanied by upward revisions to the prior two months. The 12-month trend rate for the overall price index for person...
2023-10-30 13:51:33 ET Summary REITs averaged a -7.14% total return in September and have fallen into the red year to date. Small cap REITs (-6.51%) outperformed yet again in September. Micro caps (-10.45%) continue to severely underperform their larger REIT peers. Only 9.74% ...
2023-10-28 12:19:40 ET More on REITs: SCHH: Speculative Buy On Fed Pivot SCHH: Better Options Out There MORT: No Real Compelling Case To Buy Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF declares monthly distribution of $0.1279 REITs fall as earnings seas...
2023-10-26 08:29:00 ET Summary Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of new homes sold during the month of September 2023 is $30.62 billion. While September 2023's market cap is approaching the nominal, non-inflation adjusted peak from the housing b...
2023-10-26 02:45:00 ET Summary What homebuilder PulteGroup said about mortgage-rate buydowns. Homebuilders have figured out this market, homeowners have not. To sell new houses in this 8% mortgage environment, homebuilders – whose stocks have gotten battered since August ...
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2024-06-24 20:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 07:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...