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Retail Sales Retails sales for September were well below expectation, declining 0.3%. When we exclude autos and gasoline, sales were unchanged. Core retail sales were also unchanged. Softening the blow of this disappointing number were upward revisions to the prior month, but this still ra...
At the end of October, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce the details of their latest balance sheet expansion, this will follow the FOMC meeting. Fed watchers estimate the central bank will buy between $250bln and $330bln of Treasury bills in their effort to provide sufficient reserve...
Overview: The global capital markets are ending the week on a subdued note as the UK Parliament decision on Saturday is awaited. The weaker Chinese Q3 GDP had little impact outside of China, where stocks fell over 1%. A brief suspension of hostilities by Turkey was sufficient for the US to l...
Prevailing Valuation Methods There are many valuation methods. The classic method should be the DCF method (Discounted Cash Flow). DCF method is certainly theoretically correct, but because it requires a more complex formula and some hard-to-understand inputs (such as average cost of capital...
I Get it: Stock Market Shorts Sit on Sidelines, Fearing Rally. Investors Deleverage, Fearing Sell-Off. VIX Falls Asleep, Fearing Nothing. Of the total shares outstanding of the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF ([[SPY]]), only 2.6% were out on loan to short-sellers this week, the lowest since ear...
If we have a strong financial disruption, defaults will rise in importance and move front and center. The term "financial crisis" is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial assets suddenly lose a large part of their nominal value - a default falls into this area. In ...
So, after a nearly empty week until now, there were four economic reports Thursday morning. Three of them were good. First, although overall housing starts and permits declined, single-family permits, the most forward-looking and least volatile of the metrics, were only 3000 off a new expans...
It feels like we have come a long way from late summer when President Donald Trump referred to President Xi Jinping as the "enemy" of the U.S. Indeed, on 11 October, upon a handshake agreement that included a promise by China to buy more U.S. agricultural products and a promise by the U.S. to ...
With the S&P 500 fighting to retake the 3000 level this week, bullish sentiment has rebounded after dropping to the lowest level since May of 2016 last week. AAII's percentage of bullish investors rose from 20.31% last week to 33.62%. This brings the sentiment level back within its nor...
By Robert Hughes AIER's Leading Indicators index fell in September but remains slightly above neutral. Risks to the economy are rising. AIER's Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index fell 4 points in September, staying slightly above neutral at 54. The Roughly Coincident ...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...