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If you are looking for a snapshot as to why there is so much to this “growth scare” and rising deflationary potential (record stocks, though), outside recent labor market data you’d be hard-pressed to do better than US trade statistics. We can see already the disc...
The past week has been a story of stagflation infecting the US economy while the stock market grimaces as the Fed expresses the need to start a gradual pullout from economic stimulus much sooner or face a rapid pullout a little later. Rapid inflation pounds away at the producer side i...
Perhaps it is simply due to summertime, but the last few months have been frighteningly quiet on the stock markets. To put it bluntly, one could say that both the crash prophets and the optimists are slowly running out of arguments for their respective scenarios. The current silen...
Global equity markets have diverged widely lately, with European and US stocks strongly outperforming the rest of the world. Despite recent strength, Europe has performed roughly in line with its global peers since last year. Contributions to the FTSE All-World ex USA returns were...
The yields on longer-term bonds are falling at a time when people are expecting the economy to pick up steam and even experience more inflation. However, in the bond market, inflationary expectations have remained relativity constant over the past four months, but expectations of real...
The COVID-19 pandemic has elevated operational efficiencies of digital business models into a survival imperative for virtually all companies. Today, there is growing recognition that policies geared toward improving corporate profitability may have gone too far. The Group of Seve...
The consensus priced into today's market calls for growth and inflation to continue running hot. However, the bond market is fading the reflation consensus - pricing in an imminent bout of deflation. History says to bet on the bond market, indicating major downside risks to stocks...
A weakening credit impulse globally continues to bode poorly for economic momentum for the foreseeable future. The change in the flow of credit (commercial loans taken) has stalled over the last year notwithstanding trillions in cash injected into the lending system through centr...
The Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index rose an all-time high of 64.1 percent in July, gaining 4.0 points from 60.1 percent in the prior month. The business activity index (comparable to the production index in the ISM manufacturing report) increased to 6...
Bank lending practices are a long leading indicator, typically turning down more than one year before a recession. For the second quarter in a row, not only have lending practices loosened, but demand for almost all types of loans has increased. This is strong support for the fore...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...