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The U.S. is passing the baton in leading the economic restart to other developed markets; but we see fresh challenges in many emerging markets. Better-than-expected U.S. jobs data drove U.S. 10-year bond yields to the highest level in two weeks. U.S. stocks hit record highs. China...
Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment in June was a bit below the DoR’s forecasted level for Q2, growing 4.6% annualized, way down from a year ago (47.1%), but still above recent months. June manufacturing employment is 1.0% below February 2020 levels, while leisure and hospitality ...
Market valuations are elevated, but that does not make markets go down. The only thing that can stop this market now is a lack of liquidity and the Fed withdrawing support. The Fed has already enacted the reverse repo, which has drained $1 trillion out of markets. That’s the st...
The New Normal looks a lot like the Old Normal in that it is unknown and ever changing. All we can do is observe the present with clear eyes. For now, the economic outlook is still pretty good. It isn’t the boom everyone was expecting a few months ago, and it probably wonȁ...
Record market highs we are experiencing relate more to capitalization-weighted indices than strength in the average stock composing those indices. Tear apart the numbers, and the results show we have been in a significant downturn in the simple average stock since February 2021. "...
Up until the last decade, negative interest rates were the stuff of abstract theory. Today, the volume of fixed-income securities trading with yields below zero runs to $16.5 trillion, having grown steadily over the past two months with the renewed rally in global bond prices. Expecta...
The short-term shifts come from Momentum investors/short-term traders using price trends as a guide to forecast the direction of the next expected direction. Momentum investors moved out of FAANG-type stay-at-home favored stocks as rates rose with the belief that inflation sensitive i...
Global Private Equity is the clear leader, up 25.4% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. High-Beta stocks are the place to be this year, up 27.7%. And they were up 25.6% last year, second only to Momentum stocks, which were up 29.2% in 2020. After many years in the doldrums, commodities ...
The strength of the US employment data keeps the Jackson Hole conference as the next opportunity for an update on the pace (and possibly, the composition) of the Fed's bond purchases. As central banks move from providing emergency support to pursuing policy targets, there is scope for...
To believe the Fed can simply accommodate the financial markets with the most gradual and transparent “taper” and everything will magically normalize is more than wishful thinking. Prolonged QE has fomented market dysfunction and deep structural maladjustment. How it...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...