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The positive contributions were more widespread in July but were still led by increases in food and energy categories. After seasonal adjustment, the CPI rose 0.5 percent in July while the core increased 0.3 percent for the month. Prices for many goods and services in the economy ...
Employment looks much better in the latest jobs report. Employers were able to hire and the unemployment rate dropped. Surveys of workers turn up fear of Covid as reason for not working. This explanation looks strange. Most business leaders have a vision of growing their companies...
The pandemic is expected to change the labor market, with more work from home and higher wages. One unexpected change is the large increase in new business applications. Last Spring, there was speculation people were forming businesses because of a bad labor market. But as of June...
The reasoning is that fluctuations in the economic trend, inflation, monetary liquidity, the credit spreads influence stock market performance. Meanwhile, a long history of analysis shows that more models tend to be better for divining the future by way of combination forecasting. ...
Nominal (not inflation adjusted) earned income (red) peaked at $29,538 in February 2020 as the U.S. economy peaked just ahead of 2020's coronavirus pandemic lockdowns that threw the nation into recession. Average nominal income recovered to its pre-Coronavirus Recession peak in Novemb...
Sideways markets happen not because the stock market gods play an unkind joke on gullible humans, but because of human emotions. Historically, sideways markets have always followed secular bull markets. At the end of secular bull markets, stocks become very expensive - their valuation...
Today's NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for July is further evidence that unfilled jobs is impacting business conditions. The small business survey noted that 49% of respondents have open positions that they are unable to fill, a record high for this indicator. The labor and su...
The small business optimism index from the NFIB fell 2.8 points to 99.7 in July, reversing the 2.9-point gain in June, leaving the index below the 104.5 result from February 2020. Details within the report suggest that small business owners are becoming less optimistic about future ge...
Trade data published by the U.S. Census Bureau indicates a small improvement in the level of trade between the U.S. and China. The size of the monthly gap peaked at $10.6 billion in October 2020 and had fallen to $7.4 billion through May 2021 as the trade recovery gained steam. Th...
A price crash is to an economic system what a heart attack is to a human body. Many companies that today appear to be thriving concerns would never have gotten off the ground had the CAPE value remained near 16. Our ability to function well as a democracy is being compromised by o...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...