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The issue of demography plagues Japan and the U.S. equally. The advancing decades show birth rates dropping as dependency on social welfare climbs. The problem, as with Japan, is that demographics are undermining the support for the social welfare system. The aging population is curre...
The lack of a definite timeline on tapering from the Fed on Friday gave the “bulls” the boost of confidence they needed. While investors fretted the Jackson Hole symposium would result in a firm timetable for an aggressive tightening campaign beginning as early as Septem...
Equities wobbled a bit midway through August, but they have since regained their mojo, all but confirming that the bull market in equities remains strong and unchallenged. A reduction in the pace of QE is coming, in both the US and Europe. Indeed, the pace of asset purchases already h...
Supply chain problems are acute, but also a part of a more structural peak globalization issue. Inflation is from physical constraints as well as money supply growth. A look at tech stocks vs. oil performance over the past 50 years. For further details see: Supply Chain ...
Stability breeds instability. This steady climb foreshadows a fragility shock. Our caution signs are on yellow. We warned that the summer would be like a rollercoaster, and it has been for most stocks. Is the “back to work” trade coming back to life? We think it may ...
If the unemployment rate is too high for the Fed’s mandate, ending QE might be more effective at solving that problem than continuing it, but I doubt stocks would like it - and that seems to matter to the Fed today. The economy is a multi-faceted, global beast which is controll...
Strategas Investment Strategist Ryan Grabinski dives deep into recent updates to the Baird Market Gauge ("Sentiment" moved to Favorable from Unfavorable) and hints at a few areas to watch over the coming months. The S&P is trading at about 22x forward earnings, which is elevated. ...
The general view is that interest rates aren't going to rise immediately, despite inflation. It's also the general view that the Fed will start to taper bond purchases soon enough. But the second is the first; tapering is a rise in market interest rates. So, be prepared for rates ...
The preliminary PMI estimates have already been released for many countries and are often good enough for investors. China's PMI is an exception. While Beijing continues to press with its regulatory and social reforms, economic policymakers are eschewing large-scale fiscal or monetary...
This unique risk indicator points to a higher than usual probability of a selloff or correction in the US stock market. The indicator tracks the degree of trading activity in bullish leveraged equity ETFs relative to inverse/bearish ETFs. It is one of a growing list of risk indica...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...