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We stay tactically overweight European equities with two key events on the horizon: a European Central Bank meeting and the German election. U.S. jobs growth in August was far below expectations. Yet, we caution that seasonality could be at play and a revision upwards is possible. ...
It may seem too obvious to comment on this. Just the same, it bears repeating that markets peak with earnings and economic activity after the fact. Some significant firms are calling for 15% correction today while others are not. In my experience, forecasting short-term market shifts ...
Today's release of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) shows the demand for employees continues to grow. The July report shows openings increased 749,000 to a record for the Survey of 10.9 million open positions. Clearly, openings far outpace those looking for a job...
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the BLS shows the total number of job openings in the economy rose to 10.934 million in July, up from 10.185 million in June, and another new record high. The number of open positions in the private sector increased to 9.881 milli...
GDP forecasts are now starting to get downgraded. Slower GDP growth will ultimately have a negative impact on earnings estimates. This will weigh heavily on the equity market. For further details see: Slowing Growth Rates Will Have A Profoundly Negative Effect On The Mar...
To date, 2021 has been as almost good as it gets for equity investors. Any slowdown in growth has yet to feed into consensus earnings forecasts which have continued to increase over the summer. Investors have few high-yielding alternatives for as long as real and nominal bond yiel...
The growth of trade between the U.S. and China flashed warning signs in July 2021. While U.S. exports to China showed year-over-year growth, the growth rate in the value of goods imported to the U.S. from China turned slightly negative for the first time since August 2020, suggesting ...
Fears of the Covid-19 delta variant seem to have negatively affected the August payroll numbers and put the Fed’s taper hopes on hold as the US economy is showing signs of slowing. We have to get past October, which is usually full of surprises. The bulls are getting more b...
When the Fed first tapered from late 2014 – 2016, the stock market went absolutely nowhere for two years. The market has risen higher on greater easing than ever before, so it has further to fall. Without continued Fed largesse, interest rates will certainly rise, as the go...
We’ve seen economic data in recent months moderate after record growth in the first half of 2021. In financials, the rise of many fintech companies and the growth of digital payments has really disrupted the traditional banking industry, creating new options for consumers. ...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...