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It has been 11 months since the last 5% correction in equity markets, and the coming weeks present a number of significant potential risks. Bond yields remain low and equity markets are still near record highs. Volatility is subdued. There are a few reasons why volatility is likel...
Fed easing does not reliably benefit the stock market if measures of risk-aversion are increasing. Depressed valuations create a margin of safety in the form of higher expected return and lower duration. The new savings of households, corporations, and foreign countries must be he...
The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...
Investing should be as unemotional as possible. Unfortunately, the higher the stakes, the more emotions get involved. All of the major banks have been gradually working their way to becoming bears. This is shocking because investment banks are always bullish. Things have probably ...
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that the government will run out of money by the middle of October, sooner than expected, and that Congress needs to act pronto. With all the hyped-up performative bloviating about the debt ceiling, it’s easy to forget that raising the debt ...
The economic data for the week ending Sept. 3 continues to support our narrative of slowing economic growth. It seems highly unlikely that weaker GDP growth does not negatively impact third quarter and potentially fourth quarter earnings. Should the economy continue to slow as it ...
Monetary and fiscal policy respond to economic conditions, with the appropriate response dependent on the balance of supply and demand in goods and services markets and capital markets. Monetary policy can try to stimulate activity in goods and services markets by lowering the cost of...
With sell signals in place, volume rising, and breadth weak, a retest of the 50-dma early next week will not be a surprise. Deutsche Bank's strategists 'expect an imminent correction' even though they see the S&P 500 rising back around current levels by year-end. With supply c...
The US employment data and the ECB meeting are behind us, and the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, and Norway's Norges Bank lie ahead. The general sense one gets by surveying the recent string of data is that economic activity has downshifted. With most of the rece...
The private domestic sector balance increased by over $219+ billion in August 2021, thanks to federal government fiscal support and commercial bank credit creation. The change rate fell though. Credit creation from commercial banks was stronger at $112B+, well up from last month. ...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...