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Consensus earnings estimates have now turned lower, and more worrying is that the number of companies now seeing downward earnings revisions is on the rise. There is now an increasing amount of uncertainty around earnings estimates looking forward. The PE Ratio (NTM) fell below 20...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in August 2021 is $70,305, an increase of $559 (or 0.8%) from the initial estimate of $69,746 for July 2021. August 2021 saw inflation rise more slowly than median household income, with the typical income-earning Ame...
New indices and model portfolios demonstrate that adding a layer of intelligent trend validation and selection to any investment strategy can generate alpha and help beat benchmarks. Profiting from the performance dispersion observable in any investment universe can be a gold mine for...
The gap between the market valuation of the net international investment position and the cumulative current account has waxed and waned over the years. Receipts trend upward as the dollar depreciates, fitting the exchange rate valuation story. Increase in receipts push up net inc...
It's hard to see the economy stumbling when liquidity is super-abundant and borrowing costs are incredibly low. Even if the Fed finishes its tapering and starts raising its target funds rate well before anyone currently expects them to, they will still have to counteract the super-abu...
Hiking interest rates during a supply shock might be counterproductive, but there are plenty of things the Fed has already done to push inflation higher than it would otherwise be, and it has already helped the surge in home prices and stock prices. The Fed intends to aggressively tap...
Many economists now expect China to fall into recession for the first time in nearly 30 years as Evergrande Group continues to miss interest payments on its bonds. Another sign of looming recession in China is that their National Bureau of Statistics reported Thursday that its purchas...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...
With the “bears” continuing to maintain control over the market, risks are mounting. While short-term indicators got oversold, longer-term indicators did not. We are still in midst of seasonal weakness and could decline a bit further before sellers get exhausted. ...
When stock traders talk about bonds it’s often a sign of trouble in the markets. And last week’s bond selloff and recovery is a perfect example. Ryder System is one of those companies that often flies under the radar in the stock market. The S&P 500 also closed t...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...