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2023-04-18 04:29:00 ET Summary On Friday, the S&P 500 Volatility index (VIX) saw a new 2023 closing low vs. the S&P 500 itself. The last time the VIX got that low there was a drawdown on the S&P 500 from 4195.44 to 3808.86 on the Monday after the SVB failure. Unles...
2023-04-13 00:59:00 ET Summary Given market uncertainty and the risk of a US recession, is now the time for defensive stocks? We think that reducing exposure to risk assets while increasing exposure to defensive equities with lower volatility and higher potential dividends may hel...
2023-04-12 08:00:00 ET Summary The Simplify Macro Strategy ETF provides investors exposure to multiple futures and other strategy funds from the Simplify manager, plus a gold ETF. The ETF expands beyond these ETFs with the use of an options strategy. All of this is discussed in de...
2023-03-29 03:30:00 ET Summary While US large cap equity indexes have generally fared well over the past five years, the Russell 1000 Invesco Dynamic Multifactor Index [RB1] has posted standout returns. The Russell 1000 Index — an unbiased barometer for the broad US large c...
2023-03-16 12:00:00 ET Summary Return volatility has a periodic tendency to cluster and also cycles from high to low and back again through time. Market volatility has recently spiked and briefly clustered but has been sliding over the last several weeks and is currently approachi...
Summary If the Fed won’t follow the bond market, maybe the bond market will follow the Fed. Last year’s decline in stocks was not about earnings but about rising interest rates. Shorting options tend to suppress volatility indexes, which is one reason why the VIX has b...
Summary The forward 12-month EPS is a time-weighted average between FY1 (2023) and FY2 (2024). During the height of the pandemic, we saw aggressive downgrades in EPS estimates during March-June 2020 as shown in the 2020, 2021 , and 2022 worm. Both the Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 G...
Summary The Simplify Volatility Premium ETF generates high distribution yields by shorting VIX Futures. It provides -0.2 to -0.3x VIX exposure while hedging tail events with UVXY calls. SVOL's historical performance is better than call-selling strategies like XYLD and JEPI. ...
Summary The Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market. Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting. The Fed needs to push back against the market before it is too late. It appears that the Federal Reserve is losing control ...
Summary Conventional wisdom these days is that in order for the Fed to bring inflation down, they are going to have to kneecap the economy. Looking back at last year as a whole, real GDP shrank at a 1.1% annualized rate in the first half of the year, and grew at a 3.1% annualized rate i...
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2024-06-24 21:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 14:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 01:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...