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Despite some easing in longer-term inflation expectations, shorter-term expectations remain near record highs. Inflation expectations remaining elevated, risk anchoring inflation higher and becoming self-fulfilling. A pivot to monetary easing looks rather unlikely until inflation ...
We don’t expect the slowdown in economies to result in a deep global recession. A repeat of the big increases in bond yields we saw in the first half of the year is unlikely. In this environment, higher quality credit is more attractive. Despite increasing pressures on prof...
Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced its preliminary estimate for second-quarter GDP growth at an annualized decline of -0.9%, which marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. The Commerce Department announced on Wednesday that durable goods orders increased a ...
Advanced estimates suggest real output declined for a second straight quarter in 2022, prompting many to debate whether we are in a recession and what that even means. First, note that overproduction does not mean above-trend production. Rather, it means producing more than is warrant...
Last week saw some dramatic moves with TTF futures for European delivery of EU natural gas trading at a weekly high of EUR 228 per megawatt-hour before settling in about 15% off that high. Natural gas is not as fungible as oil. It is true that there is an LNG market, but unfortunately...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Central banks in major economies expected as recently as a few months ago that they could tighten monetary policy very gradually. Central bank actions and communications about the likely path of policy have led to a significant rise in real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates on gover...
Many of the downside risks flagged in our April World Economic Outlook have begun to materialize. Despite slowing activity, global inflation has been revised up, in part due to rising food and energy prices. As advanced economies raise interest rates to fight inflation, financial ...
Full employment does not imply the disappearance of all unemployment as there could still be structural unemployment. A pause in rate hikes is not a true pause but rather a reduction in the pace of overall tightening if the Fed carries on with QT. Ultimately, things boil down to w...
Economic fluctuations can result from swings on the demand side (total nominal expenditures) or the supply side (general productive conditions). On the demand side, we should keep nominal expenditure as steady as we can. On the supply side, we should keep taxes low and regulation ...
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2024-05-18 18:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-30 08:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-10 03:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...