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2021 will be a challenging year for bond investors, as we are starting off with low interest rates and rising inflation, explains Marvin Appel of Signalert Asset Management. As a result, I believe the most productive strategy for 2021 will be to search for higher yields in the form of...
What's clear now is that a divergence in yields has been unfolding recently, as shown by the nominal 10-year Treasury yield vs. its real-yield counterpart. Perhaps inflation's trajectory in 2021 will sort out the divergence between nominal and real yields. The possibility of a bum...
Following an outsized contraction of economic activity in 2020, global output and demand are likely to rebound strongly this year. Central banks will likely keep borrowing costs low in order to enable ongoing fiscal support for years to come. An onset of fiscal fatigue (in which g...
As our latest Asset Allocation Outlook discusses in detail, we expect profit growth will accelerate, and the improvement in fundamentals should bode well for risk markets and cyclical assets in particular. We remain overweight equities in our multi-asset portfolios and select areas of...
The government is throwing money at the pandemic. The Fed is helping wholeheartedly. And inflation and yields are confounding the experts. For further details see: Yields And Inflation - Soaring? Not So Fast
Record retail participation in the stock market indicates euphoria. Goldman Sachs stated that U.S. equity markets are valued at 92% across aggregated valuation methods. High debt and unemployment, low economic growth, and rising costs have created a stagflation trap similar to the...
Increased tolerance for risk might explain why gold - almost alone among commodities - has dropped rather precipitously in the past month or so. Among the commodity universe, gold stands out as very expensive, while crude stands out as still very cheap. Expect these prices to norm...
The result, which dipped below recent market indicators, was the second-lowest real yield for any TIPS auction of this term. Investors had to pay a sizable premium for this TIPS, about 7.5% above par value, to collect a coupon rate of 0.125% (plus future inflation accruals). The i...
Existing home sales have an impact on the economy but it is mostly in the form of sales of home goods - refrigerators, washers, dryers, and furniture, etc. Housing is going gangbusters right now, but for it to really impact the economy it will have to continue for a while. 10-year...
AB has been a longstanding proponent of investing globally within the bond markets. We advocate going global on a currency-hedged basis. In our view, US investors should remain in global bond markets because those negative non-US yields can be turned into an opportunity, thanks to...
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2024-07-24 22:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...