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Summary Lots of commentators love I Bonds. A high "teaser" rate today sounds good, but what if inflation gets tamed? Think more about your investment profile and goals before you jump in. When inflation started picking up last year, every blog writer and financial co...
Summary M2 has essentially flat-lined since last January, which was well before the Fed began to take tightening action. This means that the behavior of M2 is obviating the need for the Fed to pursue a typical tightening, which almost always ends with a recession. The issue of...
While lower than expected, headline U.S. inflation at 8.5% still remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets interpreted July’s slower inflation as a signal that the Fed may not need to tighten as much. Has inflation peaked, or will the intense competition over a...
Gold has an inverse correlation to real yields, such that when real yields rise, Gold falls, and vice-versa. The RSI and the MACD are at extreme lows now that are consistent with the beginning of prior rallies in TIPS, i.e., far lower real yields, which typically translates into far h...
Long-term investors need to have a strategy they can stick with no matter what happens, a strategy that keeps them on an even keel. Investing is hard and determining your risk tolerance is far from an exact science. There are a lot of people these days who seem to want the market ...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
We highlight the top three behavioral biases to avoid in the new, volatile market regime - and give tips on how investors can try to overcome them. Stocks rallied and yields fell last week after markets concluded the Fed’s pace of rate hikes will slow. We are less sanguine and ...
The FlexShares iBoxx 3-Year Target Duration TIPS Index Fund (TDTT) restricts its portfolio to the short end of the TIPS market. The iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP) invests based on the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities Index (Series-L), covering the whole spe...
It’s all about high inflation at the moment. The Federal Reserve is certainly focused on inflation risk and is set to raise interest rates again in July 27’s policy announcement. A key reason that inflation’s trend tends to reverse during recessions: tighter monet...
Market views of Fed rate hikes have swung sharply. We see more volatility ahead as long as central banks think they can curb inflation without crushing growth. Yields spiked before easing after the ECB raised rates by 0.5% last week. We expect it to pause hikes before the Fed as the e...
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2024-07-24 22:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...