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Investors have been hearing prognostications of “runaway inflation" for more than a decade now, since the end of the global financial crisis. With central banks and governments around the world offering up unprecedented stimulus spending to combat pandemic-induced economic disr...
The demand for money - as measured by the ratio of M2 to nominal GDP - currently stands very near to an all-time, eye-popping high. Compared to the levels which prevailed 2 years ago at this time of year, air traffic is now down only 40%, whereas at the lows of last April, air traffic...
The dollar may have more upside in the near term but market positioning may have gotten too bullish too soon for a big move. Stocks were mostly down last week, Japan a notable exception and up 2.77% on the week. In general, foreign markets did a bit better than the US with even EM...
Real yields of reserve currency sovereign bonds are negative and the lowest ever. Bonds have been in a 40-year bull market that has rewarded those who were long and penalized those who were short, so the bull market has produced a large number of comfortable longs who haven't gotten s...
"Runaway inflation or continued deflation?" "Rising rates or rates dropping below the zero bound?" These are just some of the questions investors are starting to ponder as the economy re-opens. The current interest rate environment is particularly complex because there are so many com...
Without a doubt, the biggest story in bond-land, if not the financial markets in general, thus far in 2021 has been the spike in the U.S. Treasury 10-year yield. At this point, the federal government's financing needs reflect the baseline trillion-dollar deficit coming into this fisca...
the market is also beginning to get concerned about rising inflation: inflation expectations over the next 5 years have risen from 0.5% last summer to now over 2.5% per year. The economy doesn't need more demand, it needs more people working and more businesses reopening. The econ...
It should be no surprise that profit-maximizing speculators will seek the best risk-adjusted returns wherever and whenever they might perceive them. While the securities lending side of the financial world can be and most often is pliable, fungible, and, at times, horrifically forgivi...
Amid ongoing debates about fiscal and monetary policy in February, global sovereign debt markets experienced a widespread sell-off for the second consecutive month. In Japan, the 10-year government bond yield climbed 11 basis points to finish at 0.16%, its highest closing point since ...
Prices in government bond markets around the world dropped this week and yields soared as investors focused ever more closely on the potential for inflation to come roaring back in the second half of the year, if not sooner. If the Fed is truly content to sit back and watch intermedia...
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2024-07-24 22:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...