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Volatility returned to government bond markets in April, amid a flood of central bank decisions and noteworthy economic data. The largest movement came from the Portuguese 10-year government bond, whose mid-yield surged by nearly 27 basis points to close at 0.49%, the highest level si...
Reopening 2 is definitely happening. The bond market surveys the future as only it has been able and contrarily sees less-than-full recovery. While we focus on US payrolls and their wow factor, the rest of the global economy actually doesn't look anything like them. For furt...
While many yields are at, or near, their historic lows, opportunity remains in select segments of emerging-market debt, triple B-rated corporate bonds and certain areas of the mortgage-securities market. A good way to approach value stocks has been to find those that are attractively ...
Today's post rolls out the inaugural Risk Review column for the major asset classes, a monthly update that's the companion piece to the monthly performance report and risk-premia estimates. Risk analysis is a broad and deep subject and so this monthly update will be no one's idea of a...
We see near-term volatility in inflation as the economic restart progresses, and believe markets underappreciate potential for medium-term price pressures. U.S. stocks hit record highs supported by strong corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve reiterated its intent to "stay behind th...
April delivered across-the-board gains in the major asset classes as risk-assets around the world rebounded from widespread losses in March. The lead performer in April: broadly defined commodities, which surged 8.3% via the Bloomberg Commodity Index. The worst performer last mont...
Silver linings have been hard to come by lately, especially last year. Spending is way up, but orders for new durable goods production are…not. Beyond the production side, there's also the entire global bond market where one smaller imbalance isn't treated so dominant as it...
Current economic data is certainly strong - although not universally so - but the bond and currency markets may be pointing to some weakness ahead. The copper to gold ratio which peaked in early March, leading bond yields by a full month, has recently resumed its uptrend. The comm...
I believe that those investing in the broad stock market indexes are taking a lot of risk right now, and that it would serve them well to hold some bonds. At present, the 10-year Treasury note is priced to return 1.57%/year. The concept of avoiding a bigger loss is a tough one for...
By promising to remain super-accommodative for at least a year or so, the Fed runs the real risk of allowing inflation and inflation expectations to run wild. Back in February of last year, a casual observer would have remarked that Treasury yields were exceptionally - and historicall...
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2024-07-24 22:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...