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Most of the market “data” everyone obsesses about is just noise, especially when it comes to economic data. We just finished another quarter during which a lot of things were supposedly newsworthy but somehow produced almost nothing in the way of major market movements. ...
Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...
Mid and small-cap value continue to outperform their respective “growth” factors YTD. Only large-cap growth is beating large-cap value YTD. At some point, large-cap growth will go out of favor and it could last a while. For further details see: Style Box Up...
Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...
A fixed income investment can serve as diversifier against equities, a source of income, or even protection against inflation when using TIPS. As interest rates and inflation expectations evolve, a tactical rules-based approach to portfolio optimization can help provide investors with...
We stay tactically pro-risk amid the broadening economic restart, with negative real rates supporting risk assets - as per our new nominal theme. The Fed signaled it will start to taper around the year-end. Its reluctance to confirm inflation is meeting its new objective supports our ...
With all the debate about the persistence of inflation, one natural thing to ask is: what is the market pricing? The “breakeven inflation rate” on an inflation-indexed bond (in this case, U.S. TIPS) is that future rate of inflation that gives the same total return as nom...
With today's release of the August CPI, it looks on the surface as if inflation is moderating, much as the Fed has been hoping. Looking deeper, though, I think it still pays to be skeptical - especially since the belief that this inflation flareup is merely transitory has been fully e...
Bond investors have eagerly awaited news on the proposed timing of the Fed’s plans to begin tapering and have been looking for hints of when rates may start to rise. The combination of low interest rates and signs of rising inflation have investors concerned. The prospects ...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in August for the Global Market Index. Sharpe ratios in global markets generally are elevated. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark for the “optimal” portfolio. For further details see: Major Asset Classes | Aug...
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2024-07-24 22:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...