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Diversification remains key. Flexible strategies can also take advantage of a more uncertain yield and spread environment. We continue to find reasonable opportunity in both public and private credit markets. We find value in non-agency mortgages and prefer cyclicals to growth sto...
The biggest tech platforms have been on a tear in the last few years, accelerating into warp-speed growth in both earnings and share prices since the beginning of the pandemic a year ago. Despite having their own business models, in general, these companies have capitalized on a handf...
Many US technology companies use stock compensation to help align workers' performance with shareholder interests. But stock-based compensation also creates accounting distortions that add risks to unwitting investors-especially as growth company valuations face increased scrutiny tod...
One of my many favorite tools to use when analyzing the markets is a Relative Rotation Graph (or “RRG”). I’m going to focus on using RRG to explain what’s happening under the surface in the market today. You can put any benchmark in the middle, at the z...
Tech stocks, which swiftly bounced off the -10% territory, gave the market the illusion that the tech sector has been fully corrected. Mainly due to widespread supply shortage and seasonality, Q1 revenue (EPS) has been estimated to decrease by 10% (6%) for an average tech stock. I...
The recent government bond yield spike has pressured tech stocks, yet we are still constructive on technology both on tactical and strategic horizons. The Federal Reserve made clear its intent to stay behind the curve on inflation, keeping short-term rates low for longer than they wou...
The unique characteristics of the Covid pandemic recession may lead to a shorter cycle - both because of the unprecedented and intense stimulus, and because of unresolved issues that characterized the late stage of the previous cycle. Because the Fed is planning on being reactive, inv...
This past week, we got to observe Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the US stock market and the US bond market do everything I said they would do in their complicated shuffle of ships-and-icebergs. While bond yields had already begun to rise and compete against stocks, the Fed stayed the co...
The central bank is standing by its new policy commitment, and we believe that is supportive of equity markets. In December, the Fed's "dot plot" indicated that rates would be on hold until the end of 2023. Yields at 1.7%-plus need not be a source of great concern. For furth...
As of Friday, March 19th, 2021, Technology was 26.4% of the S&P 500's market cap. While Apple's market cap weight as of Friday, March 19th, 2021 was 5.76% of the S&P 500, the stock's "earnings weight" was 30.2% of the Tech sector. Apple and Microsoft are the Tech sector wi...
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2024-07-14 20:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 09:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 17:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...