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In this article we will discuss the longer-term outlook for global interest rates and in particular longer-dated bond yields (NYSE: TLT ). The main purpose of this article is not to make any predictions over the short-term but serve as guidepost for potential shifts in deep secular trends th...
How much higher can bond yields go before equities are knocked off their perch? That's a question that's likely to be on the lips of many market participants in the weeks ahead assuming all signs continue to point to an interim trade agreement between the world's two largest economies. Ov...
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of light, it was the season of darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair. We ha...
Measuring The Backup In Interest Rates - Is This 2016? Since early September, after enjoying a historic rally, long-term Treasury rates have become increasingly volatile, rising nearly 30 basis points on the benchmark 30-year yield. Before deconstructing the move higher in Treasury rates,...
The Fed’s reluctant decision to flood the overnight market with cash in the coming months was surely a surprise, even for monetary policymakers. As explained in the last article , the run-up in repo rates of September was no surprise to market veterans. Repo run-ups around statement da...
Federal Reserve officials got a little “shock” in the banking week ending September 18, 2019. The reserve deposits that the commercial banks hold at Federal Reserve banks, surprisingly dropped below $1.4 trillion . This surprise caused Fed officials to go into “alert&...
Two weeks ago, many were worried about the market “bump” that the Federal Reserve had to deal with. The market disturbance came in the area of repurchase agreements and the Fed responded quickly, and, in my opinion, kept things quiet although some analysts wanted to make a bigger...
RECESSION ANGST VS. RECESSION REALITIES Global growth have been at the center of investor worries, but in some geographies, this is currently more a function of anticipation than hard data. Looking into the fourth quarter of 2019, we would break the world into two groups. Europe and some m...
Repogeddon Breitbart and ZeroHedge have been shouting that the financial markets are in chaos, disaster looms, over the spike in repo rates. This isn't actually a serious problem whatever is being said. Sure, there's a reasonable argument that we'd prefer not to have repo rates of 10% ...
President Trump's administration would like to achieve a “weak” dollar in order to spur on US exports and improve the US trade balance. This is the primary reason for the President's tirades against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. So far this year, the president is lo...
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2024-06-15 01:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 02:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...