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Summary Stocks are now back down to the lows set in June and sentiment is as negative now as it was then. There is a long list of technical items that have hit levels or rates of change we associate with bottoms, short- or long-term. The economic data last week was mostly abou...
Summary Markets are entering a new era, where inflation slowing growth are the new normal. Why we may be entering a period of deglobalization. Why the next decade may look very different from the last for investors. Equity markets have been grappling with hig...
Summary The month of September is living up to its reputation as one of the worst-performing months during a year. In just the past two weeks alone the S&P 500 Index is down 9.53%. The equity market weakness has pushed the S&P 500 Index down to a level that is testing the ...
Summary Many central banks aren’t acknowledging the extent of recession needed to rapidly reduce inflation. Markets haven’t priced that, so we shun most stocks. Yields surged after more rate hikes and the UK’s fiscal splurge news. We cut UK gilts to underweigh...
Summary Leading central bank interest rates, set by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future. With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-grades at 5.23%, the premium for government paper appears to be in place. Howev...
Summary The Fed will hike until something breaks. And politicians in DC will not let Powell break inflation. Things are starting to break - the British pound, the Japanese yen, the German energy market. The market has been pinning its hopes on the idea that the Fed would pivot...
Summary The Fed funds target rate is now in the range of 3.0 to 3.25 percent. Indications provided by the members of the FOMC at this week’s meeting suggests that the Fed funds rate will eventually settle somewhere just north or just south of five percent. As Fed chair ...
Summary Powell reiterates commitment to restoring price stability. ECB plans to continue rate hikes despite growth slowdown. How rising rates are impacting the U.S. housing market. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist Erik Ristu...
Summary As evidence piles up that the stock market is caught in a bear market, the focus inevitably turns to analytics that will signal a high-confidence forecast that the selling has reached exhausted itself and a bottom has arrived. In other words, there’s (still) no silv...
Summary There are some important financial implications to below-trend economic growth. If inflation remains high, interest rates will adjust, triggering a debt crisis as servicing requirements increase and defaults rise. Most of the aggregate growth in the economy was finance...
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2024-04-16 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-12 10:47:02 ET BTC iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) TLT is trading DOWN for the last 4 days, and it at trading at $94.99 with volume of 7,676,393 and a one day change of $-0.69 (-0.72%). BTC iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF has a 52-week low of 82.42 and a 52-week ...