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2024-05-30 04:10:00 ET Summary In Q1 2024, unrealized losses on securities held by commercial banks increased by $39 billion from Q4 to a cumulative loss of $517 billion. The securities are mostly Treasury securities and government-guaranteed MBS that don’t produce credit l...
2024-05-30 03:42:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in the...
2024-05-28 04:00:00 ET Summary A recent poll conducted by Harris and the UK news outlet The Guardian produced some interesting results. The reporting on this has been mostly political because the poll also found that 58% blame the Biden administration for the current state of the ...
2024-05-27 14:05:00 ET Summary The Q2 ’24 Atlanta GDP Nowcast is projecting mid 3% GDP for the 2nd quarter, 2024. Friday morning, we get Core PCE data for April ’24, and overall April PCE data is expected at +0.2%, while the April Core PCE data is expected at +0.3%. ...
2024-05-27 04:22:00 ET Summary The US economic upturn accelerated again in May after two months of slower growth, with the early PMI data signaling the fastest expansion for just over two years. US business activity growth accelerated sharply to its fastest for just over two years...
2024-05-27 03:32:00 ET Summary Today’s unemployment and inflation environment is a far cry from what it was in the 1980s' stagflationary years. Median stock market volatility in year four of an election cycle is essentially the same as it is in years one and three. Chin...
2024-05-24 09:45:00 ET Summary It is widely known that markets can be influenced by economic data releases that deviate significantly from consensus. We have quantified the impact of economic surprises on the US government bond market for different tenors, as measured by the quint...
2024-05-24 00:05:00 ET Summary The current focus of the FOMC is on achieving the inflation mandate rather than the employment mandate. The FOMC is more concerned about the risk of inflation than the state of the labor market. Unemployment remains low and is not a major concern...
2024-05-23 00:20:00 ET Summary Two driving forces are now simultaneously pushing in the direction of higher long-term real interest rates. While investors and commentators often tend to conflate the two, I think it is useful instead to distinguish them clearly. They are rising inv...
2024-05-22 13:30:00 ET Summary Fed policy has a heightened data dependency, leading to increased volatility in the bond market. The UST market’s narrative has shifted toward the possibility of rate cuts, but the Fed does not appear to be in a rush to implement them based on...
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2024-06-26 16:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-05 10:45:05 ET Stitch Fix Inc (SFIX) SFIX is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $3.54 with volume of 13,084,142 and a one day change of $0.87 (32.64%). Stitch Fix Inc has a 52-week low of 2.06 and a 52-week high of $5.20. The business's 50-day moving averag...
2024-04-16 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...