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An interesting dynamic has emerged in high yield ((HY)) markets following the overall rally in bond yields year to date. On the one hand, the presumed "margin of safety" that yield provides against future defaults has declined, thereby shifting the potential distribution of future returns more...
With the market breaking out to all-time highs, the media has started to once again reach for their party hats as headlines suggest clear sailing for investors ahead. After all, why not? The Federal Reserve cut rates for the 3rd time this year. The Fed is also back in the "QE" game o...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. Following the FOMC's announcement of its third consecutive rate cut after its meeting this week, speculation immediately broke out among market participants about whether additional cuts or even rate increases might be on the horizon going into 2020. However, suc...
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Retest Confirms Bullish Breakout "If you are a bull, what is there not to love?" That was the message from two weeks ago, and the reasoning behind increasing our equity exposure in portfolios as we head into the end of the year. With the Fed cutting rates on Wednesday, and companies ...
The yield curve still seems to be following the bearish timeline. My axioms here are: 1) The true measure of inversion isn't a slope of zero. At the zero lower bound, it is a slope of a little more than 1% (10 year minus Fed Funds), which declines as the base yield rises. (At about 5%, meani...
October non-farm payrolls expanded a stronger-than-expected 128,000 (estimate 85k) in a month when the GM (GM) strike reduced payroll growth by upwards of 42,000 and another 20,000 positions were lost to a shrinking census workforce. September's job gains were revised 44,000 higher to 180,000,...
Over the last several months we have seen much action in the interest rate realm. We have seen the Fed begin a “non-QE” bond buying program, which has now reached levels in excess of QE3. We have also seen the Fed lower their rate several times. However, if anyone has been paying...
By James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the federal funds rate band by 25 basis points from 1.75%-2.00% to 1.50%-1.75%. 1 Changes in the text of the Federal Open Market Committee statement, as well as information provi...
The economic calendar is a light one in sharp contrast to last week’s. That was a good time to observe the market reaction to a wide range of news. Now is the time for investors to use the information. What actionable investment ideas have become more attractive? Last Week Recap...
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2024-05-14 13:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...