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So much winning! Global equity markets are pushing higher, and many are at all-time highs. Chinese equities and the yuan are perking up. The threat of tariff wars is receding. Industrial commodity prices are turning up. Housing starts in the US are soaring. Consumer confidence is high. Financi...
Having reached their yield low at 1.32% in July 2016, US 10yr bond yields have been locked in just shy of a 2% range for the last two and half years (subsequent high 3.25% and low 1.43%). For yields to fall again, supply must fall, demand rise or central banks recommence their experimental mon...
John Mauldin recently penned an interesting piece: "Ignoring problems rarely solves them. You need to deal with them - not just the effects, but the underlying causes, or else they usually get worse. In the developed world, and especially the US, and even in China, our economic challenges ...
Interest rates likely headed higher, too. Tuesday was a good day for inflationistas . According to the latest release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index ticked up 0.2 percent in December. The more telling stat, however, was the year-over-year inflation rate - 2....
Originally published January 13, 2020 How the problems created by the zero lower bound can be better framed with The Four Equation New Keynesian Model Eric Sims is the chair of the economics department at the University of Notre Dame and is a research associate with the National Burea...
Traders call copper "Dr. Copper" because he has a Ph.D in economics. In fact, most of the time, Dr. Copper forecasts recessions and recoveries, inflation and deflation, far more accurately than his colleagues in the "dismal science," so it pays to pay attention to his macroeconomic messages. ...
By Sonal Desai, Ph.D., Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income The many gloomy predictions for 2019 did not come to pass, but can we be more optimistic for 2020? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai draws the key lessons from last year and outlines what we shou...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D., Vice Chairman & Chief Monetary Economist Beginning in 2018, in a long sequence of actions, the US enacted tariffs on goods from a number of countries besides just China. In some cases the affected countries responded with their own retaliatory tariffs on US ...
In 2020, increasing monetary and fiscal stimulus will be the equivalent of spraying gasoline on a fire to extinguish it. Economically, the 11 years since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 have been one relatively coherent era of modest growth, rising wealth/income inequality and coord...
By Kevin Flanagan The New Year has certainly been filled with its share of geopolitical headlines right from the start, from Middle East tensions to continued impeachment talk. Friday marked the first "real" data day for the bond market, with the release of the final jobs report for CY 201...
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2024-04-05 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-13 05:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...