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2024-07-05 13:35:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate increased to 4.1 percent in June 2024. The Sahm Rule, developed by former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is designed to identify the start of a recession using changes in the total unemployment rate. If the labor force grow...
2024-07-01 06:00:00 ET Summary Leveraged ETFs often underperform their underlying index, mostly due to beta-slippage. Monthly and yearly drift watchlist shows varying levels of drift in leveraged ETFs, with some experiencing decay and others positive drift. UDOW historical dat...
2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...
2024-06-25 10:07:21 ET More on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares ETF TNA: The Trade Won't Be Small When It Comes Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares ETF Dividend scorecard for Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares ET...
2024-06-20 00:20:00 ET Summary Last month, for instance, government employment was up 2.7 percent, year over year, while private employment was up on 1.6 percent. Growth in government jobs has been outpacing private employment (year over year) for the past fourteen months. The...
2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...
2024-06-03 09:34:04 ET Summary Small caps may outperform large caps in the next bull trade, making the Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares ETF a potential option for exposure. TNA achieves 3x daily leverage through swaps, but its performance is highly influenced by volatility....
2024-06-02 13:49:05 ET Summary Leveraged ETF prices drift due to beta-slippage. This monthly article series monitors 22 of them. ProShares Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares ETF (SPXL) has experienced both positive and negative drift in its history. In volatile times, i...
2024-06-01 09:00:00 ET More on the markets and the economy Fed may not cut rates in 2024 with inflation's slow downward pace - strategist Investors punished Salesforce after earnings. See other worst post-report reactions PCE April 2024: Personal Spending Data Confir...
2024-06-01 01:45:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve has been inverted between the 10-year and 2-year maturities for 500 days. Prior to the current inversion, which started in 2022, the 10-2 curve has inverted on four occasions since 1987. It still may be too early to concl...
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2024-05-18 19:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-08 19:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-09 07:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...