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Will there be a number of countries there who perhaps feel tempted to keep this unorthodox policy going further, or may even step further away from what we consider normal policy? I think adoption of electric cars, the rate of adoption, will really be driven by the rate of improvement...
As public debt rises to record levels, countries need to calibrate fiscal policies to their own unique circumstances. With the pandemic, global debt in 2020 jumped by 14 percent to a record high $226 trillion. This figure includes both public and nonfinancial private sector debt. ...
Market sentiment has deteriorated since earlier this year amid still elevated financial vulnerabilities and mounting concerns about risks to inflation. Amid the prolonged and painful pandemic, risks to global financial stability have remained contained - so far. To an unprecedente...
The global recovery continues but momentum has weakened, hobbled by the pandemic. Compared to our July forecast, the global growth projection for 2021 has been revised down marginally to 5.9 percent and is unchanged for 2022 at 4.9 percent. The dangerous divergence in economic pro...
The I.M.F.’s latest update estimates 2022 global economic growth will be 17% lower than in 2021. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast began August above 6% and is now tracking at 1.3%. Only when valuations have collapsed back below long-term means and laboured there long enough ...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
Global Private Equity is in the lead, up 19.7% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. Emerging Markets are the laggard with a YTD gain of just 1.5%. Commodities have come on strong this year after losing -7.8% last year. US REITs have rebounded strongly from last year's -4.7% decline. High...
On the second anniversary of the Business Roundtable's statement endorsing a "stakeholder" standard for corporate conduct, corporations have been criticized for doing nothing to implement it. But in fact, the opposite has happened: corporations have embraced some stakeholder interests...
The industry is now seeing an expansion in data-driven practices, with new ESG and climate datasets emerging and becoming mainstream. We explore what climate risk metrics are and how they are used today. As a relatively new area of risk analysis, climate data is still developing; cons...
For Q2 2021, the average equity fund and taxable fixed income fund posted a 6.36% and 1.55% return, respectively. Nonetheless, in a quasi-flight to safety and continued search for yield, bond investors pushed the 10-year Treasury yield down 29 basis points (bps) for Q2 to 1.45%. L...