Previous 10 | Next 10 |
Pushing interest rates below zero is both an act of desperation and something that in theory should have a huge, immediate impact of the behavior of borrowers and savers. The fact that negative rates have become the new normal in big parts of the world but haven't caused the expected behavior ...
Overview: The deterioration of the investment climate is spurring the sales of stocks and the buying of bonds. The dollar is firm. China and the US appear to be digging as if the trade tensions will remain for some time and the breach is beginning to look too big for Trump and Xi to pull ano...
Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Hiu Fat Tse as a new contributor. It's easy to become a Seeking Alpha contributor and earn money for your best investment ideas. Active contributors also get free access to the SA PRO archive. Click here to find out more » Yield curve i...
By Gary Alexander Old economic theories and partisan political critics say that President Trump's escalated tariffs will cause soaring inflation going into next year's elections, perhaps causing a recession and hurting his re-election chances. If so, raising tariffs on $300 billion in Chin...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 21, 2019. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] Keynesian economic theory is useless if the aim is to understand how the world of human production and consumption works, but it is useful when attempting ...
By Justin Murray Broadly speaking, banks operate under the concept of maturity transformation. Banks take short-term - less than one year - financing vehicles, such as customer deposits, and use that to finance long-term - more than one year - returns. These returns range from the most com...
On Wednesday I was doing my usual scan of the daily investment news. After reading this article from CNBC you could have knocked me over with a feather. Here is the key excerpt: Futures trading now indicates an 80% chance of a rate cut by January 2020, according to the CME’s FedWat...
Every breath you take Every move you make Every bond you break Every step you take I'll be watching you - The Police Imagine it, money made from nothing except a keystroke, a wand waved by an "independent" central banker, a computer is some small room where some clerk hits the ...
Me Want 3-Year Bond So, like, this is happening: US Treasury The entire curve is inverted with the 6-month bill, and the 3-month is not far behind. Everything from the 1-year on is inverted with Fed Funds. As you can see, investors cannot get enough of the 2 through 5-year maturities...
Judging by several key economic indicators, it's reasonable to assume that inflation will remain steady at a moderate pace. US GDP growth in the first quarter quickened to a solid 3.2% increase and the labor market expanded at a strong pace in April . Later this year, the expansion will bec...