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By Frank Shostak "When interest rates are low central banks don't have much room to maneuver to deal with a crisis," the New York Fed President John Williams said on Wednesday, June 6, 2019. In addition, according to Williams, "if inflation falls, central banks will have even less room t...
Sorry I'm a few days late on this. Core CPI continues to ride along the 2% target range, bifurcated between shelter and non-shelter prices. CPI shelter inflation is at about 3.3% over the past 12 months. The non-shelter core components are now down to 1.0% over the past 12 months. Inflatio...
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee ((FOMC)) this week held steady on both the Fed Funds rate (2.25-2.50%) and the interest on excess reserves (IOER, 2.35%). But, more importantly, the FOMC statement emphasized higher economic uncertainty, and FOMC officials weighed rate cuts in r...
By Sonal Desai, Ph.D., Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at its June meeting; it emphasized its data-driven approach to policy decisions but noted it believes the case for lower inter...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Although the money and bond markets appear to be "chomping at the bit" for a rate cut, expectations for such action at the just-completed FOMC meeting were low. Rather, the focus was on whether the policy makers would be making any changes t...
Wednesday, June 19: Five things the markets are talking about The dollar is largely unchanged overnight against G10 currencies as investors await central bank meetings, including the conclusion of the Fed's two-day meeting later today. Markets are entering uncharted waters, sovereign yield...
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is set to meet later this week as investors speculate when the central bank could cut rates. We believe the Fed will decline to cut its policy rate at this meeting, but may begin easing as early as July. The advent of an easing cycle will remain data-dependent, and th...
By Elga Bartsch, PhD The Fed is considering a change to its monetary policy framework. Elga assesses the potential impact on markets and the economy. This is the final post in a series of blogs on the Fed and inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve is considering changing its monet...
By Kristina Hooper , Chief Global Market Strategist All eyes will be on this week's US Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting - especially the statement (whether the central bank will retain its "patient" stance) and the "dot plot" (which charts the outlook for interest rates). The June 18-19 Fed ...
By OpenMarkets Along with the Federal Reserve meeting this week come meetings from the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England. All of these gatherings will determine global interest rates for some time to come. Jack Bouroudjian discusses how that affects markets and the search for yiel...