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By Kevin Flanagan This year has gotten off to an unusual start in the financial markets. Typically, the focus would be on the Federal Reserve (Fed) and/or economic developments, but unfortunately, the coronavirus has taken center stage. I thought it would be useful to offer some insights f...
Are negative interests here to stay? A recent study by Yale economist Paul Schmelzing suggests that global real interest rates "could soon enter permanently negative territory." In Mesopotamia , around the third millennium B.C., there were two types of money circulating: barley and silv...
The U.S. Federal Reserve held rates steady amid a strong economy, but sees potential global risks including the viral outbreak in China. Anthony Okolie talks with James Marple, Senior Economist, TD Bank Group. Original Read more ...
Bonds had a good year in 2019. The Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate US Bond Index returned 8.72%, its best performance in 17 years. Source: Bloomberg The 8.72% gain exceeded the average annual returns for the past 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-year periods of 3.05%, 3.75%, 5.03% and 5.91%, respectively....
By OpenMarkets At A Glance Central bank activity now has a global reach and an intertwined relationship with the world's fixed income markets. After the Federal Reserve decided to keep its target rate steady at its January meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell devoted part of his press ...
As expected, the Federal Reserve held its policy rate range steady at the January meeting, and the statement changed only modestly from December. In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) still expects the U.S. economy to expand at a ...
Back in the days of QE, I noticed a pattern that during QEs, the expected future date of the first rate hike would remain relatively level, but when QEs were stopped, the expected future date of the first rate hike would move ahead in time. In other words, if the first rate hike was expected...
Original Post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
By James J. Clarke How do we think about a world of ultra-low interest rates as equity investors? To us, interest rates are much more than determining what discount rate to use in a valuation model. At extreme levels, the rate environment introduces distortions that impact management behav...
According to analysts and economists who watch these things, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index was expected to continue its rise. Having purportedly bottomed out back in September, like other sentiment indicators, this one had been on the rebound, too, if, though, much less than those other...