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The extended rally in corporate bond prices, as well as subsequent decline in yields, was widely blamed on "momentum chasing" just a few short weeks ago. That has now changed with the motive behind the latest bond price rally being one of safety-seeking behavior on the part of scared investors...
Back in the days of QE, I noticed a pattern that during QEs, the expected future date of the first rate hike would remain relatively level, but when QEs were stopped, the expected future date of the first rate hike would move ahead in time. In other words, if the first rate hike was expected...
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By James J. Clarke How do we think about a world of ultra-low interest rates as equity investors? To us, interest rates are much more than determining what discount rate to use in a valuation model. At extreme levels, the rate environment introduces distortions that impact management behav...
According to analysts and economists who watch these things, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index was expected to continue its rise. Having purportedly bottomed out back in September, like other sentiment indicators, this one had been on the rebound, too, if, though, much less than those other...
Russ discusses the catalysts favoring emerging markets, beginning with the Federal Reserve. Starting in late August, two things happened that had not occurred in several years: The Federal Reserve started expanding its balance sheet, and emerging markets began outperforming. The two are in...
Evaluating monetary tools available to central banks, why the Fed still has some ammunition, and why the ECB should adopt a review of its monetary policy framework Joseph Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and formerly, a senior staffer at the F...
Where the financial market is concerned, complacency is one of the biggest mistakes that both investors and policymakers can commit. For when everyone becomes comfortable with a prevailing trend, an untimely piece of bad news can have a significantly adverse impact upon the market. The refer...
Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that eight major market influences are likely to dominate the investment environment in the year ahead and that the proper portfolio mix will be instrumental in delivering a successful outcome. In our industry, we can safely rely on the...
I appreciate the invitation to join once again in Seeking Alpha’s annual program of looks at the year ahead. It is a change from my regular “week ahead” articles! The SA series is quite valuable, and I always learn a lot. This year is especially important. What do you ex...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...