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The U.S. economy will enter a recession this year, but the Federal Reserve's 23 March announcement that it will buy an unlimited amount of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and introduce numerous facilities aimed at stabilizing the financial system may help avoid longer-term dama...
By Sonal Desai, Ph.D., Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income The US Federal Reserve continues to use whatever tools it can to help combat economic fallout from the coronavirus. Sonal Desai, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, calls its latest resp...
The price of gold dropped $31, and that of silver fell even more by proportion, $2.14. The gold-silver ratio hit a hit of over 126 before closing the week around 119. This exceeds the high in the ratio last hit in the George H.W. Bush recession. Last week, we were warming up to silver, if no...
Gold prices moved to $1700/ozt a few weeks ago as the market started to price in rate cuts. However, since then, prices have fallen back to below $1500/ozt despite broad market turmoil. We believe this price fall is mainly the result of sharply higher real-interest rate expectations as we are ...
Sending direct payments to individuals may be the most crucial and immediate step the government can take to soften the blow of the coronavirus crisis. Claudia Sahm is the Director of Macroeconomic Policy at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth and formerly was a section chief at the...
There must be a robust economic response to the coronavirus crisis, and that may require immediate coordination between monetary and fiscal policy. Megan Greene is a senior fellow at Harvard University's Kennedy School and a senior fellow in international economics at Chatham House. Former...
By Eric Winograd Conventional wisdom says the Fed is pretty much out of tools to support markets and an economy derailed by the coronavirus. But if things don't stabilize soon or if the fiscal response is too slow, we expect the Fed to take on broad fiscal-like authority to funnel liquid...
Investment thesis: The bond market is very unstable right now. Take no new positions. Cash is king during this turmoil. This has been one of the consequential weeks in the bond market in quite some time. Consider the following actions from the Federal Reserve: On Sunday, the Fed cut ra...
There have been recent developments at the Fed. Time Is A Luxury Twelve press releases in five days, and even more announcements than that. It has been an unbelievably busy time for Fed watchers. I hit Publish on the night of Thursday, March 19, and by the time you read this, everythin...
By Robert Hughes Weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped sharply for the week ending March 14, rising 70,000 to 281,000, the highest level since September 2017. The four-week average came in at 232,250 versus 215,750 in the prior week (see top chart). According to the Emp...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...