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With this article I intend to instill a sense of humility in one’s predictions of inflation or deflation and with that demonstrate how it can be dangerous to own assets like gold or long dated treasuries that only work in one direction. We present a strategy that allows one to stay fu...
By Richard Lawrence The indiscriminate selloff that battered financial markets during March left no stone unturned. For globally-focused managers such as ourselves that meant currency markets were a source of significant volatility during the month. While the news from China in early 2020 ...
Silver is finally gaining on gold, reversing nearly all of its richer cousin's gains since silver's coronavirus collapse. It took 125 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold barely a month ago. This drove the gold/silver ratio far above its previous all-time highs. It now takes 97.38 ounces ...
Overview: Another late sell-off of US equities, ostensibly on questions over Moderna's (MRNA) progress on a vaccine, failed to deter equity gains in the Asia Pacific region. China was a notable exception, but the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the fourth consecutive session. European share...
"In short, the Fed is committed to rescue businesses from the greatest economic catastrophe since the great depression and probably even greater than that, to fund the US Government's rocketing budget deficits, fund the maintenance of domestic consumption directly or indirectly through the US ...
Why has the S&P 500's amplification factor turned negative after more than a decade of being virtually constant? It didn't happen all at once. It has happened in stages , coinciding with significant changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policies in response to the coronav...
By Jeremy J Siegel, Senior Investment Strategy Advisor On September 28, 1918, the City of Philadelphia, despite warnings of oncoming Spanish Flu, held a "Liberty loan" parade to encourage citizens to buy war bonds to fund U.S. efforts in the First World War. Unfortunately, thousands of Phi...
Most investors are convinced that all recessions are deflationary. If the economy slows, demand declines, prices fall, and bond yields collapse. This often causes a spike in long-term Treasuries ( TLT ) and a decline in commodities. Indeed, we have seen this occur since the March COVID-19 cras...
With the historic collapse of oil prices and glutted tankers sloshing around off the coast of Los Angeles, some forecasters are predicting deflation as far as they can see. They tend to believe that shocks to supplies cause inflation or deflation in commodities that spreads through the economy...
In a stunning reflection of the current U.S. economy, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today that U.S. inflation fell 0.8% in April, the largest drop since December 2008, at the opening of the Great Recession. Year-over-year U.S. inflation has now plummeted to just 0.3%, down from 2...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...