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2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Summary In June 2022, the Federal Reserve began its program of quantitative tightening (QT) as a complementary policy to conventional interest rate hikes. On May 1, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced an important change to the program that seemed to attrac...
2024-05-14 15:25:00 ET Summary The overall PPI for final demand spiked by 6.4% annualized in April from March, seasonally adjusted, driven by a massive 7.0% spike. Core PPI, which excludes energy costs, spiked by 6.1% annualized in April from March, seasonally adjusted. Servic...
2024-05-14 11:50:00 ET Summary US consumer inflation data was surprisingly firm in March, raising the stakes for May 15’s April report. The year-over-year change in core CPI is expected to ease to 3.6% through April, based on the point forecast for CapitalSpectator.com ...
2024-05-14 00:55:00 ET Summary Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari issued an essay saying that the recent inflation data raise questions about whether their monetary policy is restrictive enough to fully return price growth to the central bank’s 2% target rate. Kashkari...
2024-05-14 00:15:00 ET Summary While oversimplifying any formula in the financial markets tends to backfire more often than not, good inflation numbers tend to deliver new highs for the S&P 500. My thesis is that we put in a bottom in April, which should, hold with a dovish Fe...
2024-05-13 09:15:00 ET Summary We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance. While slower growth and higher inflation can be seen as having some stagflation characteristics, we remain convinced that i...
2024-05-13 02:32:00 ET Summary While the capital markets and the media react far more to the actual inflation data, ultimately it’s inflation expectations that matter more. There is a growing awareness of the “tightness” of corporate high yield credit, which i...
2024-05-12 07:00:00 ET Summary Hotter-than-expected inflation has put the Fed on a higher for longer policy path. The CPI has been rising consistently at roughly 3.5% since summer 2022, posing a disinflationary concern. The CPI has been on a linear upward trajectory for 19 mon...
2024-05-10 09:10:00 ET Summary The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard shows progress as wage growth indicator moves from red to yellow. With this cooling of wage growth, you’ve seen this move from red to yellow, and ultimately this is a positive dynamic that would help co...
2024-05-08 15:55:00 ET Summary Why is market performance and market sentiment on a divergent path? Should investors be positioned for risk? Hard data vs soft data: How is the U.S. economy actually performing? While equities have had a positive performance yea...
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2024-04-25 04:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 06:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-02 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...