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Those who read my articles on Seeking Alpha know that I often call wheat the most political commodity in the world. While the majority of market participants would likely assign that title to the international crude oil market because more than half the world's reserves are located in the most...
On Friday, March 8 the US Department of Agriculture will release its second World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report of 2019. The January report fell victim to the government shutdown which meant that many agricultural producers were making decisions in the dark until the agency r...
When someone asks me which commodity is the most sensitive to global political trends, my answer often comes as a surprise. Many market participants would answer that crude oil is highly political because more than half of the world's reserves of the energy commodity reside in the most turbule...
Originally published on Feb. 14, 2019 By Dominic Sutton-Vermeulen Introduction Recent changes in geopolitical trade policy and resulting tensions have put commodity markets on the front line of the U.S.-led trade war. As global supply chains shift and trade policy from the government...
This week, the world waited while trade negotiators from China and the United States huddled in Beijing for high-level talks over the ongoing trade dispute between the two countries. In 2018, the US under President Donald Trump put tariffs on many Chinese exports to the US and China retaliated...
US agriculture was not well positioned to suffer a federal government shutdown in December and January. In an era of low commodity prices, many farms cannot afford trade-war shenanigans and cannot afford government shutdowns. Across the US, median farm income for 2018 was -$1,548 (yes, a negat...
As products by Impossible Foods, Beyond Meat ( BYND ) and other startups go mainstream, ranchers, farmers and industry groups are trying to slow the momentum of lab-grown and plant-based meat substitutes, NYT reports . More news on: Beyond Meat, iPath DJ-UBS Livestock Total Return Sub-I...
The partial government shutdown caused a cancelation of the January World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report. Each month the WASDE report from the US Department of Agriculture releases the gold standard for fundamental data in the markets that feed the world. With the end of the...
Groundhog Day is a strange American tradition. Each year on February 2, a furry rodent predicts the weather based on if it sees its shadow or not. Sounds crazy? Well, it certainly is a bit nuts. The concept of Groundhog Day comes from an ancient Christian celebration, Candlemas Day, which ma...
The price of coffee has been in a bear market since 2011 when it traded to a high at $3.0625 per pound on the nearby Arabica futures contract that trades on the Intercontinental exchange and is a member of the soft commodities sector of the raw materials asset class. Today, coffee is trading a...