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Capital expenditure expectations appear to have recovered from pre-pandemic levels in most major regions and are trending upwards according to analyst estimates. For the U.S. index, the 12-month forward capital expenditures estimate is currently $885.6 billion, up 13.8% year-over-year...
Year over year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.2% in April, 5.0% in May, and 5.4% in June. Fading re-opening enthusiasm or the drying up of government stimulus checks could be factors in the sluggish growth numbers compared to prior month. Bond and equity markets indicated ...
While the economic growth rate is slowing, that is not a contraction or a recession. If that was the case, you’d see junk bonds selling off too, and that just isn’t the case - at least not yet. Our investment process puts a lot of emphasis on rates of change, whether mac...
The Energy sector carried its momentum from the end of 2020 into 2021 and ended Q2 as the S&P 500's best performer after returning a staggering 45.61%. US oil production has been steady around 11 mbpd for most of 2021 given producers' conservative capital allocation strategies tow...
Capital markets restricting capital to US drillers. Government agencies restricting new pipeline construction. Management teams finding religion on capital allocation. All factors point to constrained supply, lower leverage and higher cash flow generation, commodity prices and...
Last month, the fear was excessively high inflation but in the first week of July growth fears have come to the fore. A weaker than expected non-manufacturing PMI in the US has triggered a sharp decline in global government bond yields. The UK’s vaccination program may have...
In 2021, energy is where the money is going. Money is flowing out of Momentum stocks this year, and much of it is going into Value names. Commodities are having a strong showing compared to last year. For further details see: If You Want To Know Where The Market Action I...
MSCI US REIT Index rallied 2.7% in June, which marks an impressive run of eight consecutive monthly increases. The Russell 3000 Index jumped 2.5% in June, the fifth straight monthly advance. Comparing GMI to US stocks and bonds shows that global asset allocation remains competitiv...
Strategas Head of Technical Strategy Chris Verrone takes us through some market insights. The trend of this market is up, but momentum has started to soften under the surface. Over the last few months, participation has narrowed a little as fewer stocks move higher along with the mark...
The EIA issues revision data by whole states or state districts rather than by basin, so some of the reserves and production, but a small proportion, will be from conventional reservoirs. Cumulative adjustments and revisions turned negative in 2019 and I expect will show a major decli...