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Elevated inflation, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain the key economic considerations. The policy interest rate divergence between the U.S. and Europe is likely to increase amid heightened recession risk in Europe. We expect mar...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
Taylor Rule Rate is at the highest level in decades. Low LME inventories, indicating shortages in commodities. Household savings are at a high level compared to 2008. Inflation has become sticky. CAPEX is at a secular low level for commodities. As many investors ...
Most major economies are dealing with inflation highs not seen in decades. Market expectations of peak policy rates have declined since June, likely reflecting the significant slowdown in activity as well as recent commodity price declines. Tightening financial conditions as well ...
Despite being dragged down with most other asset classes in June’s selloff, resource equities have continued to exhibit remarkable resilience relative to broad equities, bonds and other real assets over the last year. Many resource companies - particularly in oil and gas explor...
The Fed is intent on raising interest rates to fight inflation and must balance the risk that creates for economic growth. In an analysis of growth versus value stocks using data since 1927, we found value had achieved greatest outperformance in periods of moderate to high inflation. ...
Are CTAs, managed futures, and trend followers getting crushed? Why has the SocGen Trend Index, approximating performance of trend followers, held up the past month and a half despite some rather violent commodity retracements? There is more going on in trend following than just commo...
There have been winners and losers. Some net commodity exporters, like Brazil and South Africa, have seen current accounts improve as commodity prices and revenues have surged. However, for many emerging markets, food security is a growing concern, and net importers are particularly a...
Two opposing forces appear to be dominating the market currently, with investors polarized between recession fears and bargain hunting following this year’s large equity selloff. Investors priced in most central bank tightening and seem more confident with the inflation outlook...
Chinas' property sector has been a major driver of commodity prices over the last couple of decades. The Chinese property sector has been a major driver of Chinese monetary policy, and thus has a significant influence on the Chinese economy. The previous correlation between the pr...
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DALLAS, Feb. 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CSW Industrials, Inc. (Nasdaq: CSWI or the "Company") today reported record results for the fiscal 2024 third quarter and nine-month fiscal year-to-date periods ended December 31, 2023. Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Highlights (compar...
DALLAS, Feb. 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CSW Industrials, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSWI or the “Company”) announced that Jeff Underwood has been appointed Senior Vice President of CSWI and General Manager, Contractor Solutions, reporting to Joseph B. Armes, CSW Industrial’s Chairman, C...