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Summary The slowdown in US economic growth has yet to reach a tipping point that marks the start of recession. The availability of published data to date provides only a partial profile for August and September. The economic updates over the coming weeks will be critical for d...
Summary The new regime poses an unavoidable trade-off for central banks: tame inflation by hiking or preserve growth. We see them overtightening rates, so keep risk low. UK gilt yields reached 14-year highs before the Bank of England intervened to halt the selloff. Yields on 10-ye...
Summary Leveraged ETFs behavior is neither intuitive nor predictable. Below is a dashboard with 22 of them, including SPUU. LABD is the worst of the list. Focus on SPUU: drift history and comparison with UPRO. The Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X Shares ETF ( ...
Summary As the Federal Reserve continues reiterating a more aggressive monetary policy stance, analysts are finally shifting from a “slow growth” to a “mild recession” view. Investing during a recession is difficult. The recession could be worse tha...
Summary We believe it is unlikely that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will navigate a pivot to a less-hawkish stance before early in 2023. We expect China to grow at a meager 2%-3% pace in 2022, with the potential for these risks to bleed into 2023, as a slowing developed-market consumer...
Summary There are some important financial implications to below-trend economic growth. If inflation remains high, interest rates will adjust, triggering a debt crisis as servicing requirements increase and defaults rise. Most of the aggregate growth in the economy was finance...
Summary After several years of steady growth and low inflation, policymakers now face a delicate tradeoff between bringing down inflation or sustaining economic growth amid heightened macro and market volatility. We expect the Fed to remain committed to aggressive rate hikes. ...
Summary Over the last month, there has been a continuation of the significant market volatility that has dominated much of 2022. Inflation fears have driven markets and, as happened in the first half of the year, both equities and bonds have sold off. The fundamental issue of ...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Summary At the Jackson Hole Summit, Jerome Powell made it clear the Federal Reserve remains focused on combatting inflation despite recession signals rising in tandem. While the Federal Reserve is focused on fighting inflation and willing to cause “some pain” to achi...
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2024-05-28 19:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...