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Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that its preliminary estimate for third-quarter growth was an anemic 2%. This was partly due to the fact that consumer spending grew at only a 1.6% annual pace, down from a torrid 12% annual pace in the second quarter. The Commerce Depa...
The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...
Leveraged ETFs are unpredictable. A drift dashboard with 22 of them. SPXL drift history. For further details see: SPXL And Leveraged ETFs: November Dashboard
US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...
Money is created in two ways. The 1990s bull market was fuelled by only one of these ways. Today, the ongoing bull market is being fuelled by both ways of currency-creation. For further details see: How Today's Stock Market Is Similar To The 1990s, Only Better
We have already reached or even torn down historically comparable levels for many multiples. In this respect, the number of those warning of a bubble and the risk of a crash is increasing. I, too, find it challenging to accept market-wide share price potential. However, the point ...
In the latest report, the consensus forecast was for payroll gains of 479,000 and an unemployment rate of 5.1 percent. The actual numbers came as something of a surprise: 194,000 payroll gains (much worse than expected) and an unemployment rate of 4.8 percent (much better than expected). ...
The supply of new Treasury debt should average at least $1.5 trillion a year over the next 5 years. Household debt growth is also likely to soar, both mortgage and unsecured debt. At current interest rates, investor demand doesn't seem nearly sufficient to fund the total of $4 tri...
It’s turning into a debacle. Evergrande bonds ended the week at 20 cents on the dollar, with yields surging to 72.5%. Mounting evidence suggests China’s historic apartment Bubble has been pierced. Now it’s a matter of how rapidly prices deflate. And there appe...
While there was a big downside NFP surprise (194K vs. Bloomberg consensus of 500K), the overall picture is not much altered. There are reasons to believe that the September figures are perhaps distorted somewhat by seasonal issues (including school related), as well as real-world fact...
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2024-05-28 19:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...