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Despite increasing fears of a second wave of COVID-19 infections, consensus 2020 earnings forecasts have remained stable over the past 4 weeks. The COVID-19 downgrade cycle appears complete on a global basis, provided widespread second lockdowns can be avoided. Exhibit 1: Global COVID-19 dow...
The eurozone's manufacturing upturn is showing signs of losing momentum after the initial rebound from COVID-19 lockdowns, with rising infection rates posing a further threat to recovery prospects in coming months. With factory output still almost 8% lower than its pre-pandemic peak, a full re...
By Jeff Weniger, CFA Can Europe ever catch a break? We are coming up on 13 years of nearly relentless outperformance by U.S. equities relative to counterparts in Europe, owing to the former's sector skew toward Tech and Communications Services stocks, among other things. From November ...
We look at how the ECB now has an inflation credibility problem given diverging market-based inflation expectations - although there may be little appetite from the hawks within the Governing Council to act now. Any dovish tilt could come in the form of stronger forward guidance and signals th...
Overview: The capital markets are looking for fresh directional cues after last week's equity declines and seeming reversal in the US dollar. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.6% last week, its largest drop since April. Markets in the region were mixed, with Japan, Taiwan, and especially Ch...
(Source: Bloomberg , caption by the Author) Since the Fed has recently adopted a new monetary policy framework, the pressure for and expectation of a similar outcome from the ECB’s review process are building. The Eurozone, however, differs greatly from the Federal Republic of the Un...
We argued in May that the dollar would fall, and fall it did. Basically the US was the last part of the developed world where rates hadn't gone to zero but the pandemic changed that. This created a situation in which the Fed could pull out all the plugs in terms of an unprecedented policy ...
On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist Erik Ristuben and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the details behind the European Union's recently unveiled coronavirus relief package. They also chatted about the latest efforts by the U.S. Congress to ext...
Investment thesis In spite of the tremendous underperformance of European indexes versus the S&P 500 over the last ten years, there are now good reasons to consider exposure to the Stoxx Europe 600 over the flagship American index. In fact, the pan-Europe index is more defensive...
European measures applied to mitigate the effects of the pandemic have contained the unemployment rate in Europe more than in the U.S. While recognizing economic risks from the rising number of COVID-19 cases in the U.S., our forecast sees this success ratio reversing before the end of the yea...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...