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Global manufacturing output growth hits 11-year high, but record supply delays lead to production constraints. Backlogs of work rise at steepest rate for 17 years. Input costs rise at fastest rate for decade, lead to record factory gate price increase. For further details se...
The dominant reaction to the yesterday's US ISM data came from real yields. What's not to like about a US ISM reading in excess of 60? Part of the answer is the expected number was even higher (65). Another part reflects demand for fixed income. But yet another represents uncertainty,...
Brexit followed lengthy and difficult negotiations that resulted in a separation agreement stipulating that the UK would leave the single market and customs union but no tariffs on goods or quotas would be applied. The developments in the first month included some that were better tha...
As well as financing escalating government deficits, central banks face an additional problem of replacing contracting bank credit to the non-financial private sector if a slump is to be avoided. Banks are already reducing their credit allocations to the non-financial private sector. ...
With US GDP already back to where it started pre-Covid, and the Fed still on full easing mode, inflation risks remain elevated. Expectations are braced for this, but the absolute level of rates is not offering much protection. Growing confidence in the eurozone recovery gels with ...
Part of these savings was the result of households taking a more cautious stance against an increasingly uncertain economic backdrop (precautionary savings). Our estimates suggest that a large majority of the excess savings (around 85%) built-in 2020 were 'forced' owing to the impossi...
It's clear that the Fed is not for moving away from a super-easy policy setting. This leaves the back end of the curve still quite unprotected from any unexpected inflation. The bond market is listening; US yields rose into the FOMC and came out re-testing lower. We see this as a ...
Trading so far this week has been characterised by a cautious tone that has seen US Treasuries weaken after their early April rally and stock markets retreat from all-time highs. In the case of a less-dovish FOMC, even a pullback in stocks or high yield bond valuations might not preve...
US and UK lead global expansion as eurozone and Japan lag. Virus restrictions, vaccine rollouts, business sentiment and stimulus drive service sector divergences. Manufacturing rises across the board, but worsening supply disruptions hint at rising price pressures. For furth...
18 percent of companies are expected to experience liquidity-related financial distress and 16 percent are expected to experience insolvency risk. The vast majority of IPOs in 2020-2021 have been SPACs (aka, vehicles for swapping ownership of prior investments, as opposed to generatin...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...