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Inflation figures, which had been more harmonized than not for decades, all of a sudden they are acting a bit too idiosyncratic for once. That’s actually a red flag warning against inflation. The Treasury market is the farthest out of whack to inflation estimates. US inflation ...
USTs maintain the global lead for outright yields. EUR curve dynamics have decoupled amid EU supply and a steady drumbeat of dovish comments from the ECB to ensure a calm summer. Country CPI data bears upside risks today, but nothing that the ECB wouldn't look through. For f...
The potential for higher U.S. taxes, coupled with regulatory risks and shifting growth momentum, tempers our near-term enthusiasm for U.S. equities. Euro area business activity surged in June as the region catches up on the restart that has been led by the U.S. and UK. Investors w...
US stocks rallied to record highs and dollar weakness returned as investors shrug off the hawkish tilt given at last week’s FOMC policy decision. The trading week ended with a mixed inflation report that contained a downside surprise with the monthly reading. The upcoming w...
With the economic recovery undeniably ramping up, we ask managers for their thoughts on valuations in the markets. While lockdowns were protracted affairs for so many of us, the economic recovery has been astoundingly rapid in many parts of the world. Regardless of the shift in to...
The Fed finds itself between a rock and a hard place: either it keeps inflating or the whole confidence-based valuation of financial assets collapses. Either it raises interest rates or the dollar collapses. The lessons from the past have taught us that central bankers only notice a b...
The BoE has dealt a temporary setback to hawkish bets, but only inflation will show when it eventually pulls the trigger. In any case, we expect this cycle to be shallow. Supply pressure will be felt by EUR rates in the coming days, but it should prove temporary. Next week's US jo...
The US continued to lead the global economic rebound in June, according to flash PMI data from IHS Markit, but also showed signs of growth peaking from May's record expansion. The slower growth in the US and UK was in part linked to short-term difficulties in sourcing sufficient input...
The eurozone economy is booming at a pace not seen for 15 years as businesses report surging demand. As business conditions return to normal in 2021, the relationship of the PMI with GDP will therefore likely be fully re-established. However, the strength of the upturn - both with...
The Bank of England's latest statement is a little more upbeat than might have been expected, but crucially offers no new clues on rate hike timing. The Bank has kept both rates and QE on hold this month, despite a vote to end the latter early from outgoing Chief Economist and arch-ha...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...