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Rate markets seem to have fallen through a rabbit hole into a fantasy world where every new bit of information points to lower growth. That the rally in rates, and associated curve flattening, is occurring at a time the phase of economic acceleration comes to an end can create a misle...
Risk appetite is deteriorating fast, thus providing a rationale for a further drop in interest rates. A further deterioration would call central bank tightening into question and validate flatter curves. What is new is that other markets are giving signs of coming around to this v...
Markets have been propelled by a fairly simple story in the past nine months, split across two themes. First, market prices have been driven by the expectation that vaccination will once and for all allow us to put the virus in our rear-view mirror, and secondly, that fiscal and monet...
We view China's monetary policy loosening as unlikely to derail a focus on quality growth in the medium term, supporting our views on Chinese assets. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rose more than expected in June amid the restart dynamics. China’s economy grew slightly slower ...
As 2021 got underway, many investors saw European equities as an opportunity: cheap, high-quality stocks on the cusp of a robust economic recovery, with a potential added boost coming from an appreciating euro against the US dollar. However, the region's botched handling of the initia...
Inflationary pressures are showing no signs of easing just yet and the market will soon look to test the Fed's patience. The upcoming week is filled with many catalysts that stem from a deadline to finalize a bipartisan infrastructure package, persistent global delta variant concerns,...
One of the positive surprises about last year's recession is how little damage it inflicted on average household and corporate balance sheets in Europe. European household balance sheets also improved in aggregate in 2020, despite higher unemployment and shorter working hours. People ...
The world economy has performed about as well as could be expected, if one takes as given the pandemic and the inadequate public health response. Global growth in 2020 was negative 3.3 per cent, which is very low historically. But the economic outlook is stronger now than one would ha...
Bond buying is adding a liquidity excess that is bullying market rates to extraordinary lows, practically into submission. It looks too much and should be unwound, but not just yet, it seems. At least Chair Powell is not giving too much away so far. In Europe, inflation expectatio...
US inflation is solidly rounding at 5%. Bond yields are nowhere near that, and some $800 billion is getting shipped back to the Fed on a daily basis (overnight). "Forget the taper, just stop the buying already" - that's what the bond market would say, if it could talk. Chair Jay P...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...