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Introduction The recent inversion of the traditional 2Y10Y yield curve in the US has raised investors’ attention on the global economic outlook within the next 12 months to come. Unlike 6 months ago, the probability of a recession is not negligible anymore and many participants are ...
Overview: A showdown between UK Prime Minister Johnson and Parliament over Brexit pushed sterling below $1.20. The euro has extended its losses after finishing last week below $1.10. Growth concerns are seeing equities retreat. Japanese and Chinese shares managed to eke out gains, but the As...
By Francesco Pesole, FX Strategist GBP: Risks tilted to the downside on key day in parliament In a recent publication , we identified two routes for the UK Parliament to stop a no-deal Brexit: a no-confidence vote and a legislative path. Today, Parliament will go down the second route...
Three forces are shaping the investment climate. The US-China trade conflict escalates at the start of September as both will raise tariffs on each other's goods and are threatening another round in mid-December (US 25% tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese imports will increase to 30% on Octob...
The eurozone's manufacturing recession continued for a seventh month in August, adding pressure on the ECB, which meets on Sept. 12, to add stimulus. More news on: Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust ETF, ProShares UltraShort Euro ETF, iPath EUR/USD Exchange Rate ETN, News on ETFs, Global ...
The US dollar rose against all the major currencies last week and was bid to new multi-year highs against the euro, Scandis and the New Zealand dollar ahead of the weekend. The Dollar Index looked above 99.00 for the first time since May 2017. The greenback's gains in August were the most pr...
Overview: The capital markets are calm today, though there does seem to be some optimism creeping back into the market. The Chinese yuan strengthened, snapping a 10-day slide, and Italian bank shares index has risen by more than 1% for the fourth consecutive session. The safe-haven yen and...
Italian President Sergio Mattarella meets Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte this morning, and is expected to hand him a fresh mandate to put together a new coalition of the 5-Star Movement and opposition Democratic Party. More news on: Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust ETF, ProShares UltraSh...
By Chris Turner , Global Head of Strategy and Head of EMEA and LATAM Research Global equity markets have had a good year despite slowing growth and trade uncertainty. But stocks are typically one of the last asset classes to turn in the cycle and this shoe may drop later this year. L...
Overview: Hope triumphed over realism yesterday, and realism is fighting back. Asia-Pacific markets, however, traded on the echo from the recovery in North America on Monday. The MSCI Asia Pacific recouped part of yesterday's drop, led by Chinese markets. Hong Kong was the main exception. Th...