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Overview: The Iranian retaliatory missile strike on Iraqi bases housing US forces initially sparked a dramatic risk-off response throughout the capital markets. The muted response by the US coupled with signals from Tehran that it had "concluded" its proportionate measures saw the markets re...
Overview Without fresh escalation, investors cannot maintain a heightened sense of geopolitical anxiety. The recovery of US shares yesterday set the tone for today's rebound in Asia and Europe. All the equity markets in the Asia-Pacific region rallied today, led by a 1.6% rally in Japan and ...
Overview: The global capital markets have yet to stabilize amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Even though the US stock market finished last week off its lows, the sell-off continued in the Asia Pacific region. Japan's markets reopened after an extended holiday, and the yen, at three-mont...
By Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy ; Chris Turner, Global Head of Strategy and Head of EMEA and LATAM Research ; Antoine Bouvet, Senior Rates Strategist ; Timothy Rahill, Credit Strategist ; Nadège Tillier, Senior Credit Analyst ; Trieu Pham, Emerging Markets Soverei...
Overview: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has threatened "severe retaliation" for the US attack that killed an important head of a force within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. At the same time, reports indicate that North Korea's Kim Jong Un is no longer pledging to halt its nuclear weapons t...
Latest data is out. Folks who hoped the renminbi would break the dollar hegemony have to be very patient. The US economy and financial system - including being able to maintain and fund the gargantuan trade deficits and fiscal deficits - has become reliant on the dollar being the dominant ...
Overview Equities have begun New Year like, well, last year, with most Asia-Pacific markets advancing, led by more than 1% gains in China, Hong Kong, and Thailand. Only South Korea and Indonesian markets fell. In Europe, the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is up almost 1% in late morning turnover. US sh...
The dollar index measures the value of the US currency against other leading global foreign exchange instruments. The futures contract that trades on the Intercontinental Exchange has the following composition: Source: ICE The chart shows that the euro, Japanese Yen, and British pound co...
Originally published December 31, 2019 Overview: With many financial centers closed for the solar New Year, last-minute profit-taking and positioning are evident. After posting modest declines, albeit the most in a few weeks, the losses in Europe and the US yesterday carried into the Asi...
Brexit and the Euro Shorting the euro is probably going to be fashionable soon as it weakens against the US dollar and the Swiss franc. The British pound may also gain against the euro once the Brexit agreement, whether hard or soft, is agreed upon as it is likely that the UK and the US will...