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On Wednesday, Goldman slashed their G10 yield forecasts for 2019 and the revisions were pretty dramatic . For instance, the bank now sees 10-year German yields at -0.55% by year-end and 10-year JGB yields at -0.30%. The bank's outlook is well below market forwards. To a certain extent, ...
If you have nothing left, it can sound like a winning argument, but you have to really try hard enough. In October 2015, with another false dawn dawning on the public, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke wrote and op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal . As had become his habit...
The 10-year Treasury rate has fallen below 2.0% for the first time since November 2016, blowing through the bearish reasons to "short" bonds at the last "blow-off" top. As I have outlined in many of my past research notes, the driving factors behind US Treasury rates are credit risk, ...
When the market falls in the trap of wishful thinking History warns us about not confusing what is true versus what we wish to be true , as Ray Dalio identified in his book Principles. Yet wishful thinking - the attribution of reality to what one wants to believe - is one of the most co...
We're Worried Because Any change in interest rates, in either direction, is the major macroeconomic factor we're worried about as investors. It's the great unknown in the current economy, which way are central banks going to jump? As long as we don't see inflation coming then we can assume t...
Treasury bond volatility is picking up. That’s a big red flag for the credit market – and yet another sign that the U.S. economic cycle is slowing. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough and Macro analyst Darius Dale explain in the clip above how a rise in bond market volatility ...
For several years now, officials at the Federal Reserve claim that they are data driven. Well, the markets continue to take the Fed at its word. After favorable words by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials this week, the stock market has took off, bond prices r...
If you wanted to, you could point to news that the US will delay the imposition of higher tariff rates on some Chinese products to June 15 as a catalyst for the Friday morning surge in equities ( SPY ), but it's probably safe to assume that rate cut bets are again playing a big role in propell...
Following this morning's soft jobs print , traders in short-term interest rates have sharply upped bets on rate cuts - with a move by the Fed in July now seen as a near-certainty. More news on: iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF, Vanguard Sh...
Here’s a key quote from yesterday's complimentary edition of The Macro Show with Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough: “The problem remains that you can't eliminate the economic cycle. While it's nice to imagine PE Powell and the Vice Chair of the Fed coming out every single day, r...
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2024-05-22 10:45:04 ET JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) JPST is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $50.29 with volume of 3,251,849 and a one day change of $0.01 (0.02%). JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF has a 52-week low of 49.93 and a 52-week high of $50.51. ...
2024-04-25 07:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-15 09:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...