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The BCI at 257.1is up from last week's downward revised 256.6, and remains below the previous high of this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 91.9. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 10.2 is below last week’s downward revised 10.4. Both BCIp and BCIg are not si...
It's that D-word again. Deflation is knocking at the door of the global economy. But who is going to answer, and who is really at the door? (and so what??) In the following charts and paragraphs I will provide my take on the key drivers, the response, the ripple effects, and a base case scen...
[Personal Note: With Hurricane Dorian heading my way I may not be able to conduct business for a few days next week. Who knows if my phone lines will work or if I will have any internet service. I am in the "Hunker Down Mode," with the Sages. Please wish us well.] There are many theories abo...
There are many current themes in the market that warrant a certain level of caution in the investment process. From growing anxiety over a global cyclical slowdown, recession fears in the U.S., the ongoing U.S.-China trade dispute, decelerating growth among some mega-cap stocks, and the dynami...
The Chinese economic situation is unsustainable and could lead to a debt crisis, Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors, told viewers of Real Vision’s Trade Ideas. Unusually for an emerging market economy, China has 50% of its GDP in investment an...
By Kevin Flanagan For those investors looking for a final, quiet summer vacation period before the kids go back to school, think again - the bond market has certainly had other plans. The tumultuous events that kicked off August have served as a not-so-subtle reminder that volatility appea...
My first day on Wall Street. It is breathtaking, just breathtaking. Never before, ever, in the history of the world, going back over 2,000 years, has there ever been negative yielding debt before. For millennia, the debtor paid the lender interest to receive money. "Different this Time," doe...
During what was variously described as a disastrous press conference on Wednesday, Jerome Powell said trade tensions nearly "boiled over" in May and June but "returned to a simmer" in July. The Fed Chair made a number of mistakes over the course of his press conference, and that was one of t...
I've talked quite a bit in these pages about the extent to which 2019 has been a year defined by an epochal central bank pivot, which has reinvigorated the global hunt for yield to the benefit of risk assets. There was a time not so long ago (perhaps five years ago) when the vast majority o...
The Fed is in the blackout window ahead of the July FOMC, and mercifully so. As we saw on Thursday , the market is exceptionally sensitive to communications around the likely scope of the forthcoming rate cut (i.e., "Will it be 25 bp or 50?"). John Williams's fumbled effort to extoll the vi...
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2024-05-22 10:45:04 ET JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF (JPST) JPST is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $50.29 with volume of 3,251,849 and a one day change of $0.01 (0.02%). JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF has a 52-week low of 49.93 and a 52-week high of $50.51. ...
2024-04-25 07:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-15 09:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...