What The Oil Surge Means For The Fed's Path Forward
2026-03-23 03:40:00 ET
The surge in Brent oil prices above $100, now sustained for over a week, has shifted the macro narrative from a temporary geopolitical shock to a potentially persistent inflation risk. While markets remain split, with equities signaling resilience and rates pricing caution, the Federal Reserve faces a more complex trade-off between supporting growth and containing inflation. Although our base case still anticipates rate cuts later this year, elevated energy prices are eroding confidence in that outlook....
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